according to Jack Daniels German is in 13:35 shape right now, and 8:25 2 mile shape, that is 7:49 3k shape, So therefore he will run no faster than 13:35, unless he improves his mile speed, because last year he ran 4:00 in the mile and that equals 8:34 2 mile, and that is what he ran so I think Jack Daniels is dead on for most people. German would have to get close to the American record in the mile to go under 13:08
uijsj wrote:
ughhh wrote:Umm, German just showed us all that he has more leg speed than Hall or Rupp.
The mile doesn't demonstrate/require as much pure leg speed as the 800. Rupp's 1:51 (Webb only opened with 1:52), and then the kick to win the mile off the snail pace 30 minutes later, is a better indicator of speed.
you said it, I still don't see why people are over looking this. 1:51 opener, for someone who has been training for the 10K (while jumping in some indoor miles last year) is damn, damn fast.
if he does the 2 mile this weekend I expect it be be a solid race with rupp in the mix.
jd running formula wrote:
according to Jack Daniels German is in 13:35 shape right now, and 8:25 2 mile shape, that is 7:49 3k shape, So therefore he will run no faster than 13:35, unless he improves his mile speed, because last year he ran 4:00 in the mile and that equals 8:34 2 mile, and that is what he ran so I think Jack Daniels is dead on for most people. German would have to get close to the American record in the mile to go under 13:08
well I think he's at least as good of a miler now as bob kennedy ever was, and kennedy ran under 13:08 fairly frequently. that said it usually happened in rabbited european races.
but the fact that hall and dobson ran 13:15 & 13:16 makes me believe fernandez is cabable of more magic. he really was looking quite strong at NCAA's before the fall, and to open his first indoor race ever like that makes me believe further.
perhaps if he goes to mt. sac or cardinal invite he may get a crack, more likely i see him running in the 13:teens.
one idea, race him as a miler most of the season with maybe one 5k at cardinal to qualify for USA's. then go to europe and blast one before USA's. shoot, he may even be able to win NCAA's in the 1500 if Wheating doesn't do it.
It's called a Thon dude.
stupid thread, stupid reply wrote:
.Frank the Tank. wrote:great post.
does anyone know what event he plans on running at nationals? what about outdoor?
The marathon.
I have watched German run. In nationals last year, he ran, ALWAYS, very controlled. I wanted him to run PRE against Webb and Legat. German would have run sub 4:00 with ease. He is stronger than last year. He is beyond 13:35 and maybe 13:30, you will see.