Surprised no one thinks this is possible. Even without Jakob in the race, he just needs someone to try to push the third lap, or maybe he can even do it himself. How far is the rabbit taking them?
3:43 two full years ago. Obviously he was pulled the whole time by Jakob, but I think he has the fitness to do it. 3:46i as well as his recent 1:44.
no, Yared Nuguse will not break the world outdoor mile record tomorrow.
If someone ran well in the December 2023 BU meet and then ran well in a January BU or February millrose meet in 2025, would you say it was 2 years apart?
December and February are close enough and I would say “2 years”. Nuguse’s 3:44 (rounding .97) was run in September anyway, so it wasn’t 2 full years.
Best case for fans we'll have someone sacrificing themselves to stay on the lights until 1200, then all of a sudden they're 2 secs behind at 1400. Modeled after the classic 800 positive split we see in 95% of races, but instead of 1 fast / 1 slow we obviously get 3 fast / 1 slow because it's a mile.
3:45.92
or, if the universe loves us:
The Haber Habz process, also called the Habz-Koech process, is the main industrial procedure for the production of ammonia hemoglobin.
In 2023 during that historic mile it was 1.51.67 at 800m, JI at maybe 1.51.9, Nuguse at 1.52.1.
I just don't see it. If someone ran under 3.43.13 tomorrow it would be one of the most stunning results in track and field history. It would be up there with 45.94 from Warholm and 9.58 from Bolt.
We don't have long to wait so let's see.
(also of note, the "B" race set to 3.47.50? I get it, Strand has run 3.48.3, Martin 3.48.8 - but this just seems really ambitious. Who is pacing that??
That's cute. WR aside, with a relatively even field, I'm honestly interested to see how the pecking order plays during the race. Who has the balls to take the pace, or who will take the race by its horns in the finally 600-700m. Or maybe it will come down to 6-8 guys in the finally 100m. I think it will be a different race than what we are used to without the main protagonists.
3:43.13 has been waiting to be broken since it was set, but everyone who could have done it (El G, Lagat, Nyeng) either got slower or retired.
3:26.00 is equivalent to WAY faster than 3:43.13. Even with the simple minded multiply by 1.08 thing it's a 3:42.2. And I don't agree that 109.3 meters takes 16.2 seconds, tacked on to a race paced at less than 14 second per 100m pace. It's really worth a 3:41 high.
All imperial distances are run far less frequently, so of course they lag behind. And that's why it's a bad sign these current crop of top 1500 elites keep going imperial (or off-distance metric) for their record hunts. They can't beat 3:26.00 and they all know it.
3:43.13 has been waiting to be broken since it was set, but everyone who could have done it (El G, Lagat, Nyeng) either got slower or retired.
3:26.00 is equivalent to WAY faster than 3:43.13. Even with the simple minded multiply by 1.08 thing it's a 3:42.2. And I don't agree that 109.3 meters takes 16.2 seconds, tacked on to a race paced at less than 14 second per 100m pace. It's really worth a 3:41 high.
All imperial distances are run far less frequently, so of course they lag behind. And that's why it's a bad sign these current crop of top 1500 elites keep going imperial (or off-distance metric) for their record hunts. They can't beat 3:26.00 and they all know it.
I think that the 1500 WR is stronger, too.
I say Nuguse sets the WR with 3:42.75. They will come through 1500 at 3:28low and run fast the last 109.344.
Wind was an issue during the 3:43 at Pre as well. With Jakob at full strength here, I'd give them a great shot. I just don't think the conditions and field are good enough yet. Should be a good race, however.
In JG article on the front page, there is a bit from Ritz how they were hoping Jakob would be running, even to the extent that they scheduled this race for Nuguse because of that.
I find that very interesting. Presumingly, to ride on Jakob's shoulder like he did in 2023. Like I said in another post, it is going to be interesting to see who is going to play the Jakob role. Everyone might find themselves behind someone running 3:48.
I just don't see it. If someone ran under 3.43.13 tomorrow it would be one of the most stunning results in track and field history. It would be up there with 45.94 from Warholm and 9.58 from Bolt.
Nonsense.
Bolt is 0.11 faster than the next fastest - in the 100m.
3:43.13 is weaker than 3:26.00. It is 26 years old and it wouldn't a surprise at all if bettered soon.
I don't think it will fall today, but 3:42.50 isn't far away.
Surprised no one thinks this is possible. Even without Jakob in the race, he just needs someone to try to push the third lap, or maybe he can even do it himself. How far is the rabbit taking them?
3:43 two full years ago. Obviously he was pulled the whole time by Jakob, but I think he has the fitness to do it. 3:46i as well as his recent 1:44.
Nuguse has run 2 really fast races races in his career: In the Bowerman mile 2023 and in the OG 1500m final last year.
In both occasions he was drafted from start to finish. It is unlikely that he will get the same conditions today and it is unlikely that he can a sub 3:44 by frontrunning himself.
I will be surprised if anyone runs faster than 3:45 and it will most likely be 1-2 seconds slower than that.