She also cannot drop out of the 10k unless for medical reasons and then run the 5k. She accepted both before regionals so by racing at regionals in the 10k she has to run or she is DQed from the 5.
If the Oly Trials in Eugene occur during hot weather, the finishing times in the distance events might be adversely affected. In such a case, Valby might finish top 3 in the 10000m but still be left off the team with an insufficient World Ranking. Consequently, maybe her team should be considering the possibility of running at least a 31min (?) 10000m at Natty’s in order to assure she has a sufficient World Ranking.
…, maybe her team should be considering the possibility of running at least a 31min (?) 10000m at Natty’s in order to assure she has a sufficient World Ranking.
For reference, Natosha Rogers had a performance score of 1189 when she finished third (in a time of 32:23) at last year's trials. Valby’s 30:50 at Bryan Clay was worth 1226. The final spot right now in the World Athletics Road to Paris is held by Haruka Kokai of Japan, with a Ranking of 1236. The ranking requirement will drop lower than 1236 due to some athletes (e.g., Monson) eventually being removed from final listing.
If the Oly Trials in Eugene occur during hot weather, the finishing times in the distance events might be adversely affected. In such a case, Valby might finish top 3 in the 10000m but still be left off the team with an insufficient World Ranking. Consequently, maybe her team should be considering the possibility of running at least a 31min (?) 10000m at Natty’s in order to assure she has a sufficient World Ranking.
31:00 in Eugene wouldn't affect Valby's world ranking enough to matter and a hard 10k Final (in spikes?) seems like an elevated injury risk with the 5000m to follow a few days later. A more sensible strategy might be to race the 10k much like she did the East Prelim--not pushing the pace and wearing supershoes again--then to spike up for an earnest attempt at 14:52.00.
If the Oly Trials in Eugene occur during hot weather, the finishing times in the distance events might be adversely affected. In such a case, Valby might finish top 3 in the 10000m but still be left off the team with an insufficient World Ranking. Consequently, maybe her team should be considering the possibility of running at least a 31min (?) 10000m at Natty’s in order to assure she has a sufficient World Ranking.
31:00 in Eugene wouldn't affect Valby's world ranking enough to matter and a hard 10k Final (in spikes?) seems like an elevated injury risk with the 5000m to follow a few days later. A more sensible strategy might be to race the 10k much like she did the East Prelim--not pushing the pace and wearing supershoes again--then to spike up for an earnest attempt at 14:52.00.
Looking at the number of potential drops in the WA list, it is possible the World Ranking required is going to be in the low 1200’s, if not below 1200, which means if Valby gets top three at the trials (which she would need to do anyway) then she should have sufficient world ranking. Consequently, her having to run a fast 10000m at Natty’s for ranking purposes is not priority.
Therefore, I agree with what you are proposing; if she is healthy, go for it in the 5000m at Natty’s. (But I’m not sure getting the Oly Standard in the 5000m matters, if she ends up only running the 10000m at the Trials.)
Screw it, here are all of my distance predictions:
W 800- Tough to imagine Michaela Rose losing this after being dominant all season, but we said that before Juliette Whittaker took her down indoors. Roisin Willis looks to be heading back in the right direction after not making the final indoors. It will be interesting to see if Sanu Jallow can back up her 1:59.29 at SECs challenging Rose, which was a 3-second PR. 1. Michaela Rose 2. Juliette Whittaker 3. Roisin Willis
W 1500- As stacked as this field is, Maia Ramsden looks almost unbeatable. But the Providence duo will be tough to beat if she is not 100%. I could see Riley Chamberlain also surprising here if she can summon her kick from the DMR indoors. 1. Maia Ramsden 2. Kimberley May 3. Shannon Flockhart
W Steeple- The Lemngole/Markezich duel here will be one to watch. Lemngole beat her convincingly at Wake Forest, but Markezich typically starts her season slow and brings her best to the championships. I would not be surprised to see Courtney Wayment’s 9:16.00 collegiate record fall. 1. Doris Lemngole 2. Olivia Markezich 3. Elise Thorner
W 5k- Ramsden, Ayyildiz, and Appleton may be able to use their speed in a tactical race, but there is no way this goes slow with Valby in the field. There will be great racing for the remaining All-American spots, but Olememoi and Roe might be the only ones who can hang with Valby. 1. Parker Valby 2. Hilda Olememoi 3. Taylor Roe
W 10k- Same story as the 5k 1. Parker Valby 2. Hilda Olememoi 3. Taylor Roe
M 800- Wow, this event has really exploded since indoors with Sam Whitmarsh dropping a 1:44.46 in late March and 8 others in this field running 1:45 this season. Whitmarsh has continued to look strong, and I will be looking for him to have a Brazier or Sumner-like breakout race here. 1. Sam Whitmarsh 2. Yusuf Bizimana 3. Sean Dolan
M 1500- This race is honestly a crapshoot with 6-8 guys having a realistic shot of winning. Tactical experience will be important here, so I think Adam Spencer and the UW boys have a slight advantage. Waskom has not looked like himself this season, but maybe he will bounce back here. 1. Adam Spencer 2. Nathan Green 3. Luke Houser
M Steeple- Wide open, I’m sure somebody not mentioned here will come out and surprise. 1. Nathan Mountain 2. Abdelhakim Abouzouhir 3. Victor Kibiego
M 5k- Agree that Nico Young is the favorite, but Parker Wolfe will challenge him more than some might expect. Wolfe was the only one to put up a fight indoors, and he has continued to look sharp this season. I will be rooting for Graham Blanks, but obviously there is more uncertainty around his fitness returning from injury. 1. Nico Young 2. Parker Wolfe 3. Ky Robinson
M 10k- Habtom Samuel has to be the heavy favorite without Young, Wolfe, or Robinson here. I could see a number of guys outkicking him if he leaves it to the last 400m, but it should not be tough for a 26:53 guy to drop this field. Alex Maier is a dark horse- after getting 3rd in the 3k indoors, hopefully we will see the version of himself that finished 2nd here two years ago. 1. Habtom Samuel 2. Patrick Kiprop 3. Victor Kiprop
Nice pics. For the events I follow (somewhat) closely, here are mine:
W 800 1. Rose 2. Galvydyte 3. Gorriaran
W 1500 1. Ramsden 2. Jepkirui 3. Kazimierska/Asekol
W Steeple 1. Lemngole 2. Markezich 3. Karinauskaite
W 800 1. Rose 2. Chepngetich 3. Galvydyte W 1500 1. Ramsden 2. May 3. Foerster W Steeple 1. Lemngole 2. Markezich 3. Karinauskaite W 5k 1. Valby 2. Olemomoi 3. Appleton W 10k 1. Valby 2. Olemomoi 3. Roe M 5k 1. Young 2. Wolfe 3. Robinson M 10k 1. Samuel 2. P. Kiprop 3. V. Kiprop
Lemngole and Markezich both run 9:1X in the Final.
We may very well see two athletes break 9:20 in the final (a first), but I think it might be Thorner and Lemngole; Markezich needs less stutter-stepping than she has so far shown this season to be the third athlete under 9:20.
I didn’t think Florida women would even be in the hunt, but maybe every point is going to make it close. That being the case, how many can Asekol pick up in the 5000m after doubling back from the 1500m?
I think the fall kept you & NumberCruncher from nailing this one.
There is an element of luck in these things but I thought it was looking favorable until the trip.
What is your take on that trip? Unless he tripped over his own feet, it looked like the dude from OSU ran up on him from behind and evidently clipped him.
There is an element of luck in these things but I thought it was looking favorable until the trip.
What is your take on that trip? Unless he tripped over his own feet, it looked like the dude from OSU ran up on him from behind and evidently clipped him.
New Mexico's Habtom Samuel won the 10k with a time of 28:07.82 at the 2024 NCAA DI outdoor track and field championships. Watch the full race here.Subscribe ...
There is an element of luck in these things but I thought it was looking favorable until the trip.
What is your take on that trip? Unless he tripped over his own feet, it looked like the dude from OSU ran up on him from behind and evidently clipped him.
I agree with this. You can't see the contact, but it did look like the OSU runner edged up a little and something threw Kiprops rear leg to the side.
What is your take on that trip? Unless he tripped over his own feet, it looked like the dude from OSU ran up on him from behind and evidently clipped him.
P. Kiprop (the guy in front that tripped) may have drifted backward and both Alex Phillip and/or the OSU guy may have got entangled with his back kick. 🤷🏼♂️
P. Kiprop (the guy in front that tripped) may have drifted backward and both Alex Phillip and/or the OSU guy may have got entangled with his back kick. 🤷🏼♂️
I just slowed it down to 0.25x, and it looks like PK’s left leg goes wayward first, and that leg is closer to Phillip.
P. Kiprop (the guy in front that tripped) may have drifted backward and both Alex Phillip and/or the OSU guy may have got entangled with his back kick. 🤷🏼♂️
I just slowed it down to 0.25x, and it looks like PK’s left leg goes wayward first, and that leg is closer to Phillip.
Believe it or not, on the slo-mo replay ( @timestamp ~14:03) it looks like P. Kiprop tripped over his own leg; in bringing his left leg forward, it his right leg, sending his left leg wayward as he goes down. 👀
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