I disagree. Show me an American who has shown the capability of going sub 3:31 after 1500m rounds. It’s one thing to run that fast at a meet but another thing to run it after rounds. The US championship is always tactical and I assume that will be the case this year as wel
Lock it in. He’ll be in 3:31 shape by the trials and has the tactical genius to destroy novice runners like Hobbs.
Sounds like you're a Centro Fan-Boy, which is ok, but you're not a smart Fan-Boy. Yes, we all know Centro is an Olympic Champion and a master race tactician. Unfortunately, Centro's 3:35 isn't going to cut the mustard at the trials this year. Yes, he's in good form but doesn't have the aerobic base to be able to run 3 quality rounds. The current crew of 1500m runners won't let these races be slow jogs with a 50.0 last lap. Centro may show well in the early rounds but will be a non-factor in the final if he makes it.
I'm pulling for him, but not to optimistic on him making the team.
Mere 3:31 shape isn't enough to win these trials anymore
I disagree. Show me an American who has shown the capability of going sub 3:31 after 1500m rounds. It’s one thing to run that fast at a meet but another thing to run it after rounds. The US championship is always tactical and I assume that will be the case this year as wel
Lock it in. He’ll be in 3:31 shape by the trials and has the tactical genius to destroy novice runners like Hobbs.
Mere 3:31 shape isn't enough to win these trials anymore
Except historically 3:34 or slower actually wins every us trials, so not correct. And. It evidence based. The finals are always tactical, slower, and everyone afraid to go before someone else goes. Fast runners run slow. People choke. People run chaotic, stupid races. Which gives him as good a chance as any given his experience and the form into which he is rounding.
Mere 3:31 shape isn't enough to win these trials anymore
I disagree. Show me an American who has shown the capability of going sub 3:31 after 1500m rounds. It’s one thing to run that fast at a meet but another thing to run it after rounds. The US championship is always tactical and I assume that will be the case this year as wel
Lock it in. He’ll be in 3:31 shape by the trials and has the tactical genius to destroy novice runners like Hobbs.
On paper Nuguse will win the trials. There is no argument. Of course the race has to be run but for right Nuguse is the favorite. It also seems unlikely that Centro will drop to 3:31 being just .6 seconds slower than his PR.
Mere 3:31 shape isn't enough to win these trials anymore
Except historically 3:34 or slower actually wins every us trials, so not correct. And. It evidence based. The finals are always tactical, slower, and everyone afraid to go before someone else goes. Fast runners run slow. People choke. People run chaotic, stupid races. Which gives him as good a chance as any given his experience and the form into which he is rounding.
A winning time of 3:34, after a big kick, requires better fitness than 3:34. It’s not as if the other runners will let Centro gap the field as he runs an even 3:34 pace, and then try to run him down at the end.
He’s not going to win, but he may get top 3. And here’s the reason why. The trials almost always end up being a tactical race, and who, throughout their entire career has constantly shown the racing smarts to stay relaxed, run the shortest distance, and be in position when the kicking starts?