I actually didn’t realize that before I looked at the race photos on Instagram, so you are definitely correct that the weather had an impact on the times, Jake still has some catching up to do but he’s got a lot of time to do it and with him going to altitude things do seem to be looking better for him in a few months time come the British Champs.
This post was edited 18 seconds after it was posted.
They said we don't know what shape Jakob is in, not Jake.
Jakob apparently is now training at 100% but we have seen Jake complete a good training block and the level he is at (not great, but good enough for March). Josh and others who have competed indoors (plus a couple of Aussies) are ahead of him at the moment but there is still all to play for in the lead up to the Olympics. I expect some epic Diamond League events and everyone's predictions for Paris to change on a fortnightly basis.
They said we don't know what shape Jakob is in, not Jake.
Jakob apparently is now training at 100% but we have seen Jake complete a good training block and the level he is at (not great, but good enough for March). Josh and others who have competed indoors (plus a couple of Aussies) are ahead of him at the moment but there is still all to play for in the lead up to the Olympics. I expect some epic Diamond League events and everyone's predictions for Paris to change on a fortnightly basis.
Oh oops apologies. I’d be hesitant to say anyone but Kerr and Nuguse would be ahead of Jakob at this moment, even given the injuries/late start. That is just the gap to the rest, and how quickly he whips into shape. I’m just thinking of Jakob pretty lightly-trained and raced beating Gourley last year in Euro indoors. I guess you could quibble over the clearly sharper Hocker or Mills. I’d vote no on Kessler/Myers. Kipsang, Nordas, Habz, Nader and a lot of the rest haven’t shown amazing form yet. They are healthy though, and I’m less sure on Tim Cheruiyot, Olli Hoare (saying right things on social), Gourley, Mario et al.
This post was edited 3 minutes after it was posted.
People always seem to get better with no trade-off.
Jake Wightman could move to Chamonix for a year, place 4th in the UTMB, and people here would be ecstatic about his chances for the 1500/5000 double now that his endurance has improved.
Not that 13:52 is much to write home about for the world class elites.
Success at Olympics, 1500m due to heats correlates strongly with 1000m fitness. Most elite 1500m athletes don't race 1000m while fit so we have to estimate their 1000m fitness.
Lack of 1000m fitness is why J Ingebrigtsen is vulnerable, international 1500m finals.
Does J Wightman's 5K fitness mean improvement in all events, 1000m to 10000m? If there has been a change in training, J Wightman may not have the same 1000m ability he had 2 years ago.
One-thousand meter fitness explains the success of Herb Elliott, Peter Snell, John Walker, S Coe, Matt C, Taoufik Makhloufi, etc. One-thousand meter fitness also is a source of displeasure with Jim Ryun's results, 1968 Olympics, 1500m. Clearly, J Ryun was the best 1000m man in Olympic village, 1968.
Reputation counts for nothing. Wightman and Kerr and everyone else are racing. Jakob so far has not. Things will become clearer when the Norwegian is actually on a track with them.
Success at Olympics, 1500m due to heats correlates strongly with 1000m fitness. Most elite 1500m athletes don't race 1000m while fit so we have to estimate their 1000m fitness.
Lack of 1000m fitness is why J Ingebrigtsen is vulnerable, international 1500m finals.
Does J Wightman's 5K fitness mean improvement in all events, 1000m to 10000m? If there has been a change in training, J Wightman may not have the same 1000m ability he had 2 years ago.
One-thousand meter fitness explains the success of Herb Elliott, Peter Snell, John Walker, S Coe, Matt C, Taoufik Makhloufi, etc. One-thousand meter fitness also is a source of displeasure with Jim Ryun's results, 1968 Olympics, 1500m. Clearly, J Ryun was the best 1000m man in Olympic village, 1968.
So what do you think Jakob´s potential is in the 1000m?
So what do you think Jakob´s potential is in the 1000m?
I will answer for him. Jakob could likely run a 2:13hi-2:15 1K. Come through in 1:47/1:48 and go from there. It’s a tricky event (hence the range). Contrary to popular belief, Kerr wouldn’t be much better than him at it. Peak Wightman (if he doesn’t lay too far off the pace), Habz, Laros and Abel Kipsang would do well in the race. They could follow a pacer to 1:46 and have a reasonable chance to hold off Jakob, Nuguse and Kerr. But the best runners of it would be Arop and Wanyonyi who both have great strength and might hit 2:12-2:13 with a proper pacer.
Success at Olympics, 1500m due to heats correlates strongly with 1000m fitness. Most elite 1500m athletes don't race 1000m while fit so we have to estimate their 1000m fitness.
Lack of 1000m fitness is why J Ingebrigtsen is vulnerable, international 1500m finals.
Does J Wightman's 5K fitness mean improvement in all events, 1000m to 10000m? If there has been a change in training, J Wightman may not have the same 1000m ability he had 2 years ago.
One-thousand meter fitness explains the success of Herb Elliott, Peter Snell, John Walker, S Coe, Matt C, Taoufik Makhloufi, etc. One-thousand meter fitness also is a source of displeasure with Jim Ryun's results, 1968 Olympics, 1500m. Clearly, J Ryun was the best 1000m man in Olympic village, 1968.
So what do you think Jakob´s potential is in the 1000m?
Potential?
Do you mean if he were adopted by United Kingdom parents at birth?
Do you mean if her were raced in foster care in United Kingdom from age 12?
Do you mean if he stopped his training and trained now as an 800/1500 man?
Are you asking what can you race 1000m today on 5000m training? Today? This minute? Now? 2:18.xx or 2:19.xx
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