Don't sleep on any of the D2 guys in the race. Zach Panning is clearly a contender for the team. Then guys like Afe Zeru, Awet Beraki, and Charlie Sweeney all have huge upside and are dark house picked to finish very high up.
12 men have run under 2:10 and 18 under 2:11. Considering a woman has run 2:11:54 anyone over 2:10 qualifies.
For the women 7 have run under 2:24 and 13 under 2:25.
I cut and pasted these names from another thread. Eighteen guys under 2:10:00 although several were from the Marathon Project (and Abdi’s PR is pretty old):
Conner Mantz 2:07:47 Clayton Young 2:08:00 Galen Rupp 2:08:48 Sam Chelanga 2:08:50 Scott Fauble 2:08:52 Elkanah Kibet 2:09:07 Zach Panning 2:09:28 Leonard Korir 2:09:31 Futsum Zienasellassie 2:09:40 Brian Shrader 2:09:46 Matt McDonald 2:09:49 Nicolas Montanez 2:09:55 Martin Hehir 2:08:59 Noah Droddy 2:09:09 Colin Bennie 2:09:38 Ian Butler 2:09:45 Mick Iacofano 2:09:55
Is there another entry list showing Estrada running?
I listened to part of 2023 Swedish podcast with an English language interview of Diego. It was well before the Houston Half so his goals may have changed.
He has been doing double threshold training and seemed focused on breaking 27:00 and making the U.S. 10,000 Team — he suggested that he did not completely feel running for Mexico in 2012 counted.
Seems like the biggest longshots are Tammy Hsieh on the women's side and Adam Wollant, Joshua Kalapos and Erik Linden on the men's.
Guessing you meant to ask who is a dark horse to make the team. I bet we'll see at least one debutante on the team. O'Keeffe or Rogers for the women, Estrada or Isai Rodriguez for the men.
Isn't this thread titled: "The biggest longshot to make the 2024 US Olympic Marathon team will be..."
I gotta say wejo, this sentence is totally ambiguous. When people say “he’s a long shot to win a medal,” it doesn’t mean the man in question has won the medal, or that they’re predicting he will… in the same way, your sentence is easy to construe as “Which Olympic Trials Marathon participant is the least likely to make the team?”…ya dig?
Anyway, I don’t think he’s really a long shot but the least-predicted qualifier who I have making it is Abbabiya Simbassa.
Probably want to pull from the half-marathon list, too. All the performances are 62s, presumably due to whatever the cutoff time was, so just based on those qualifying times there's not much difference between them. But there's a certain man who stands out, and if he runs, would be in that 'likely longshot' territory:
Paul Chelimo 1:02:22 Berlin Half Marathon Berlin, GER 4/2/2023
Yes, he's never raced a marathon (hence a longshot), but how many of the other athletes have 2 Olympic 5000m medals?
I gotta say wejo, this sentence is totally ambiguous. When people say “he’s a long shot to win a medal,” it doesn’t mean the man in question has won the medal, or that they’re predicting he will… in the same way, your sentence is easy to construe as “Which Olympic Trials Marathon participant is the least likely to make the team?”…ya dig?
Anyway, I don’t think he’s really a long shot but the least-predicted qualifier who I have making it is Abbabiya Simbassa.
Ok changed it to "biggest longshot who will make the 2024 US Olympic Marathon team will be..."
Seems like the biggest longshots are Tammy Hsieh on the women's side and Adam Wollant, Joshua Kalapos and Erik Linden on the men's.
Guessing you meant to ask who is a dark horse to make the team. I bet we'll see at least one debutante on the team. O'Keeffe or Rogers for the women, Estrada or Isai Rodriguez for the men.
Isn't this thread titled: "The biggest longshot to make the 2024 US Olympic Marathon team will be..."
yes.... and aren't the biggest longshots to make the team the slowest qualifiers in the race?
Not necessarily saying he'll be top 3 at the finish but watch out for Dion Marquise Hayes. They call him 42 because that's the metric distance of the race which he owns the copyright to.
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