The problem with that progression is that Bolt actually did have the speed to go faster than 19.19 but didn’t, because he was only running at that level for 2-3 seasons and didn’t catch the perfect race. Lyles has been more consistent and very realistically can catch the right race over the next 2-3 years and get just barely under 19.19
The other difference is that Lyles holds speed significantly better than Bolt after 100m. Bolt was way way way faster than Lyles from 40-100, but Lyles is a little better from 100-200 at least in keeping his speed from dropping off. And if Lyles can pull a 19.10-19.18 that will be why. I don’t think it’s outside possibility that Lyles could run a turn in 10.1 low and do enough damage down the homestretch to run 19.18
Lyles’ coach seems to think a 9.75 Lyles breaks the 200m world record. And that’s probably about right. But who’s to say a 9.79-9.83 Lyles with a great weather day also doesn’t get there. It’s not impossible. He holds speed ridiculously well
while him winning the 100m is very surprising, there is no way in hell he’s breaking the 200m wr.
on another note I actually think he’s clean. (Not that I’d be surprised if he’s isn’t) not sure why since most definitely the majority are dirty. How is no one bringing this up about the Jamaican women? Thompson only turns it on during Olympic years. SAFP is juiced to the gills. Faster in her mid thirties than in her prime. Jackson…well it’s pretty obvious just by looking at her. Yet nothing is ever questioned. I get it, I like them too, but at some point it’s a little ridiculous. I wish they’d just let them all use anything if they want. It also looks like USA’s resident female pothead sprinter has been hitting more than weights this year. Much more muscular than past years but still not to the level of the Jamaicans lol.
Going to need sub 9,80 if he plans on running sub 19.1, he's not there yet.
When it comes to being able to sustain/maintain his topend/max velocity he's right there with Bolt and Tommie Smith. Perfect for a 4x1 anchorman.
Tomimie Smith was something else on a 4x1 anchor, actually ran soon to be Olympic 100m champ Jim Hines down a couple weeks before te Olympics in 68.
Michael Johnson had a PR of 10.09. He spent 1994 running a lot of 100m races and still couldn’t break 10.00.
Lyles is a quarter of a second faster than Johnson over 100m.
I don’t think he’ll break 19.1 either, but I don’t limit him the way you do. He’s a 200m runner. His 200 time should be relatively faster than his comparable 100m time. He may get Bolt’s 200m record.
Not comparable. Johnson was a 200/400 runner; Lyles isn't.
this track might be faster than eugene seville said himself he expected a 9.95-10.0 not a 9.8 personal best in the rounds and that the track was fast so he migbe able to get it.
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