Zella wrote:
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:26:95
2. Yared Nuguse 3:28:10
3. Narve Gilje Nordås 3:28:15
Reliable?
It would be a beautiful dream but:
1) there is no way that the final will be run that fast. No pacers, no wavelights. it Is surely going to be run in more than 3'28" (it's 3'28"50 if it turns out to be a fast race).
2) As much as i love Nordås, he is not going to take a medal. Nuguse, Garcia, Reynold Cheruyiot and even Laros are in front of him.
1) Yared Nuguse 3'28"52
2) Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3'28"70
3) Mario Garcia 3'29"07
As much of a talent as Laros is, he's not beating Nordås in a final. Keep in mind that his dainty fresh PB/NR is in excess of three seconds weaker than that of Nordås.
Even with Stewie and Tim out, we're not likely to see the final go down in 3:32 - my best guess is that you'll have to be sub 3:30 to medal, possibly even sub 3:29
Purrwegian wrote:
As much of a talent as Laros is, he's not beating Nordås in a final. Keep in mind that his dainty fresh PB/NR is in excess of three seconds weaker than that of Nordås.
Even with Stewie and Tim out, we're not likely to see the final go down in 3:32 - my best guess is that you'll have to be sub 3:30 to medal, possibly even sub 3:29
Ok for Laros, but Garcia, Reynold Cheruyiot and Nuguse all have better PB than Nordås.
1. Jakob 2. Kerr 3. Garcia though I'm hoping Laros
1. Jakob 2. Kerr 3. Njuse 4. Laros.
1. Jakob
2. Nuguse
3. Nordås
Norwegian dominance.
Jakob, Kerr, Nuguse
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It would be great to have a North Sea top 5 : Jacob, Kerr, Laros, Gourley, Nordas. We'd have to start talking about North Sea genetics.
Coevett wrote:
It would be great to have a North Sea top 5 : Jacob, Kerr, Laros, Gourley, Nordas. We'd have to start talking about North Sea genetics.
Kiplimo is from the North Sea?
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:28.7
2. Yared Nuguse 3:29.3
3. Josh Kerr 3:29.5
4. Abel Kipsang 3:29.6
5. Niels Laros 3:29.9
6. Narve Nordas 3:30.0
7. Mario Garcia 3:30.2
8. Cole Hocker 3:30.3
9. Azeddine Habz 3:30.8
10. Reynold Cheruiyot 3:31.0
11. Isaac Nader 3:31.4
12. Neil Gourley 3:31.7
köztes idők:
400 - Kipsang 55.4
800 - Ingebrigtsen 1:53.3
1200 - Ingebrigtsen 2:48.7
John Wesley Harding wrote:
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:28.7
2. Yared Nuguse 3:29.3
3. Josh Kerr 3:29.5
4. Abel Kipsang 3:29.6
5. Niels Laros 3:29.9
6. Narve Nordas 3:30.0
7. Mario Garcia 3:30.2
8. Cole Hocker 3:30.3
9. Azeddine Habz 3:30.8
10. Reynold Cheruiyot 3:31.0
11. Isaac Nader 3:31.4
12. Neil Gourley 3:31.7köztes idők:
400 - Kipsang 55.4
800 - Ingebrigtsen 1:53.3
1200 - Ingebrigtsen 2:48.7
Looks fair to me. Here is what I hope happens. Kipsang 54.8-55.2. Reynold right behind him Jakob seizes the lead at 550 and we are in full out CR hunting. I really think Jakob goes 3:27 and from there really Nuguse, Kipsang, Kerr are top favorites but heck Mario/Nordas/Reynold who knows. But I think to medal you will need 3:28 mid. It’s bad for Nader, Gourley, Hocker and Habz likely.
Reynold Cheruyiot's PB at 3:30.30 is almost a second weaker than Nordås 3:29.47. As for Garcia and Nuguse: Their PB's are stronger, but those three are all in the same ballpark. Of the finalists, I think the race for silver will be between Nuguse, Kerr, Nordås and Garcia.
Coevett wrote:
Njuse
The only one not capable of writing this extremely simple name correctly.
1 - Ingebrigtsen
2 - Nuguse
3 - Nader
Laros
Jakob
Kerr
Nuguse wins. Watch.
Coevett wrote:
It would be great to have a North Sea top 5 : Jacob, Kerr, Laros, Gourley, Nordas. We'd have to start talking about North Sea genetics.
I've already got their head shapes in CFD running some simulations. I'll post the results later with drag coefficients compared to the East Africans.
John Wesley Harding wrote:
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:28.7
2. Yared Nuguse 3:29.3
3. Josh Kerr 3:29.5
4. Abel Kipsang 3:29.6
5. Niels Laros 3:29.9
6. Narve Nordas 3:30.0
7. Mario Garcia 3:30.2
8. Cole Hocker 3:30.3
9. Azeddine Habz 3:30.8
10. Reynold Cheruiyot 3:31.0
11. Isaac Nader 3:31.4
12. Neil Gourley 3:31.7köztes idők:
400 - Kipsang 55.4
800 - Ingebrigtsen 1:53.3
1200 - Ingebrigtsen 2:48.7
Agree with your top 3. The winning time will be faster with a greater gap between Jakob and Yared. Jakob will be under 3:28 all by his lonesome self. As for farther down the list, I think Kipsang will go out too hard and will fall farther down the list at the end and Laros will have a slight regression to the mean after an amazing year. I’m putting Hocker in 4th, followed by Nordas, then Garcia and then Kipsang and Laros.