It takes a lot longer for a play to develop when you're throwing the ball from midfield to the endzone, A lot more can go wrong. Not going to get 4 chances in 30 seconds. As likely to take a sack or throw a pick.
From the 25, you can actually call a play that has a reasonable chance of working.
Addressed in this.
"McCarthy’s aim was to have a better shot than a Hail Mary on the last play of the game. Running five go routes from sideline to sideline would have given Dallas a better chance for Prescott to pick a receiver with some air around him near the goal line."
https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/01/17/fmia-wild-card-weekend-nfl-playoffs-peter-king/
juvie wrote:
brien evans wrote:
Last time I saw such a complete and utter takedown on LRC it was 2019 and someone got caught riding a bike. Bravo.
Really? The plural of p is ps, not p’s. Same with q.
Anyone unsure about usage of apostrophes should just omit them whatsoever. Using them improperly exposes you as ignorant. If you just omit them entirely, the worst you can be accused of is being lazy enough to include them properly.
Sure, Frank.
sbeefyk2 wrote:
wejo wrote:
With 30 seconds left cowboys could have thrown 3-4 hail mary’s . To me that seems a better chance of winning than maybe getting to the 25 and taking one shot. Any stats back this up? what are the odds of a 50’yard Hail Mary?
If you throw 100 Hail Marys you’ll convert maybe 10 at most. Then at least 50 will be intercepted. The other 40 will fall harmlessly to the ground. The defense can easily defend against a Hail Mary. The defense cannot as easily defend against a 25 yard pass.
Just set up in the end zone. doesn’t seem too hard to stop.
wejo wrote:
With 30 seconds left cowboys could have thrown 3-4 hail mary’s . To me that seems a better chance of winning than maybe getting to the 25 and taking one shot. Any stats back this up? what are the odds of a 50’yard Hail Mary?
It's called prevent defense. With the secondary sagging 15 yards back and linebackers giving up the middle, you should go to the seams to make your plays. A hail mary is wrong with 11 seconds left when you've whittled down the field at the seams for about 40 yards. They were doing the right thing until Dak tried to run through the center on a prevent defense.
A double reverse with the receiver throwing might have worked better.
juvie wrote:
brien evans wrote:
Last time I saw such a complete and utter takedown on LRC it was 2019 and someone got caught riding a bike. Bravo.
Really? The plural of p is ps, not p’s. Same with q.
Anyone unsure about usage of apostrophes should just omit them whatsoever. Using them improperly exposes you as ignorant. If you just omit them entirely, the worst you can be accused of is being lazy enough to include them properly.
Anyone unsure about the use of apostrophes should probably not post about the subject on a message board. Use an apostrophe when making lower case letters plural.
P.S.
I am referring to you.
Perhaps you would be able to think more clearly if you could catch up on your zzz’s.
wejo wrote:
With 30 seconds left cowboys could have thrown 3-4 hail mary’s . To me that seems a better chance of winning than maybe getting to the 25 and taking one shot. Any stats back this up? what are the odds of a 50’yard Hail Mary?
Probably a higher percentage chance it gets picked that way. Better to take the higher percentages to work up the field than to toss it up and pray.
https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/comp---by-target-depth.htmlPull up Dak Prescott. Once you get over twenty-five yards down the field, his completion percentage drops to about zero, and that is against standard coverage. In a hail mary scenario, they would probably have even more defensive backs playing deep.
League wide, the odds are about 1 in 12 of completion, about 1 in 48 of an interception and a number end in sacks before they are even thrown. On the other hand, with most teams playing two safeties very deep in situations like this, there are high percentage chances of completion 10 yards up the field, which is why teams typically do those short passes to the sidelines.