It’s Official: Justin Gatlin, Not Usain Bolt the Favorite in 100m Final

by LetsRun.com
August 23, 2015

Update: We posted earlier tonight before the 100m semifinals (see below) that Justin Gatlin, not Usain Bolt was the favorite for the 100m final. Our $200,015 Running Warehouse Worlds Prediction Contest results and betting websites proved that.

Gatlin was -135 on Bovada which implies he was favored to win 57.4% of the time. On Paddypower he was 5/6 which implied he was favored to win 54.5% of the time.

In the semis, Bolt got a terrible start, nearly fell and ran 9.96 into a slight wind (equal to 9.93 with no wind). Justin Gatlin blitzed a 9.77 with a modest tailwind (equal to 9.81 with no wind).

That changed the odds considerably. Justin Gatlin went from 5/6 on Paddypower (54.5%) to 4/9 (69.2%).

Article continues below player.

Vine of Bolt’s start:

POS BIB ATHLETE MARK DETAIL REACTION TIME
1 620 Usain BOLTJAM 9.96 Q 0.148
2 309 Andre DE GRASSECAN 9.96 Q 0.132
3 997 Trayvon BROMELLUSA 9.99 q 0.138
4 338 Bingtian SUCHN 9.99 q NR 0.159
5 958 Jak Ali HARVEYTUR 10.08 0.155
6 499 Christophe LEMAITREFRA 10.20 0.137
7 837 Henricho BRUINTJIESRSA 10.21 0.156
8 548 Julian REUSGER 10.28 0.130

Gatlin’s heat (full results here):

POS BIB ATHLETE MARK DETAIL REACTION TIME
1 1017 Justin GATLINUSA 9.77 Q 0.153
2 1054 Mike RODGERSUSA 9.86 Q SB 0.131
3 831 Femi OGUNODEQAT 10.00 0.160
4 856 Akani SIMBINERSA 10.02 0.155
5 529 Chijindu UJAHGBR 10.05 0.147
6 618 Nickel ASHMEADEJAM 10.06 0.118
7 303 Aaron BROWNCAN 10.15 0.144
8 209 Levi CADOGANBAR 10.19 0.143

Original Post:

It’s official Justin Gatlin, not Usain Bolt is the favorite in tonight’s 100m final in Beijing tonight (9:15 am eastern).

First, the most educated track aficionados on the planet, the participants of our $200,015 Running Warehouse Prediction Contest are picking Gatlin over Bolt.

Fill out the BetterRunningShoes.com shoe survey and we will enter you into a drawing a free pair of shoes.
Overall
/10
Comfort
/10
Cushioning
/10
Durability
/10
Appearance
/10
Value
/10
Who will win the
Men’s 100m?
Justin Gatlin 58.8%
Usain Bolt 40%
Asafa Powell 0.4%
Trayvon Bromell 0.2%
Tyson Gay 0.2%
Michael Rodgers 0.1%
Other 0.1%
Keston Bledman 0.1%

If for some reason you don’t want to believe LetsRun.com Nation, let’s look at betting odds.

Bovada Sports Book:


bovada

Paddy Power:

paddpower

 

 

 

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