It’s Official: Justin Gatlin, Not Usain Bolt the Favorite in 100m Final
by LetsRun.com
August 23, 2015
Update: We posted earlier tonight before the 100m semifinals (see below) that Justin Gatlin, not Usain Bolt was the favorite for the 100m final. Our $200,015 Running Warehouse Worlds Prediction Contest results and betting websites proved that.
Gatlin was -135 on Bovada which implies he was favored to win 57.4% of the time. On Paddypower he was 5/6 which implied he was favored to win 54.5% of the time.
In the semis, Bolt got a terrible start, nearly fell and ran 9.96 into a slight wind (equal to 9.93 with no wind). Justin Gatlin blitzed a 9.77 with a modest tailwind (equal to 9.81 with no wind).
That changed the odds considerably. Justin Gatlin went from 5/6 on Paddypower (54.5%) to 4/9 (69.2%).
Vine of Bolt’s start:
Hope of a Bolt vs Gatlin matchup nearly ended with Bolt face down on the tartan 15m into semi. https://t.co/e4nkAexoZI Final is in 2 hours
— Ross Tucker (@Scienceofsport) August 23, 2015
POS | BIB | ATHLETE | MARK | DETAIL | REACTION TIME |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 620 | Usain BOLTJAM | 9.96 | Q | 0.148 |
2 | 309 | Andre DE GRASSECAN | 9.96 | Q | 0.132 |
3 | 997 | Trayvon BROMELLUSA | 9.99 | q | 0.138 |
4 | 338 | Bingtian SUCHN | 9.99 | q NR | 0.159 |
5 | 958 | Jak Ali HARVEYTUR | 10.08 | 0.155 | |
6 | 499 | Christophe LEMAITREFRA | 10.20 | 0.137 | |
7 | 837 | Henricho BRUINTJIESRSA | 10.21 | 0.156 | |
8 | 548 | Julian REUSGER | 10.28 | 0.130 |
Gatlin’s heat (full results here):
POS | BIB | ATHLETE | MARK | DETAIL | REACTION TIME |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1017 | Justin GATLINUSA | 9.77 | Q | 0.153 |
2 | 1054 | Mike RODGERSUSA | 9.86 | Q SB | 0.131 |
3 | 831 | Femi OGUNODEQAT | 10.00 | 0.160 | |
4 | 856 | Akani SIMBINERSA | 10.02 | 0.155 | |
5 | 529 | Chijindu UJAHGBR | 10.05 | 0.147 | |
6 | 618 | Nickel ASHMEADEJAM | 10.06 | 0.118 | |
7 | 303 | Aaron BROWNCAN | 10.15 | 0.144 | |
8 | 209 | Levi CADOGANBAR | 10.19 | 0.143 |
Original Post:
It’s official Justin Gatlin, not Usain Bolt is the favorite in tonight’s 100m final in Beijing tonight (9:15 am eastern).
First, the most educated track aficionados on the planet, the participants of our $200,015 Running Warehouse Prediction Contest are picking Gatlin over Bolt.
Overall |
/10
|
Comfort |
/10
|
Cushioning |
/10
|
Durability |
/10
|
Appearance |
/10
|
Value |
/10
|
Who will win the Men’s 100m? |
|
Justin Gatlin | 58.8% |
Usain Bolt | 40% |
Asafa Powell | 0.4% |
Trayvon Bromell | 0.2% |
Tyson Gay | 0.2% |
Michael Rodgers | 0.1% |
Other | 0.1% |
Keston Bledman | 0.1% |
If for some reason you don’t want to believe LetsRun.com Nation, let’s look at betting odds.