Live Updates: See the Projected 2021 NCAA XC Qualifiers as Regional Results Roll in

By LetsRun.com
November 11, 2021

Welcome to NCAA cross country regional day. By a little after 2:30 p.m. ET this afternoon, all nine NCAA XC regionals will have been completed and we will know the full fields for the 2021 NCAA Cross Country Championships in Tallahassee on November 20.

Until then, we will be using the computer program devised by friend of LetsRun Bo Waggoner to create live projections of the 2021 NCAA XC field. We will continue to update the projections throughout the day as the regional results come in.

Discuss all the action on the LetsRun messageboard: MB Official 2021 NCAA XC Regional Championships discussion thread. Who is going to qualify? Who is going to go home devastated?

3:23 p.m. ET (18/18 regionals completed) FINAL MEN’S PROJECTIONS

With the Mountain results now in, we can now project the full men’s field. There was a significant result there as Utah State and Colorado State were both projected to get in, but they only finished 8th and 9th. That’s good news for Minnesota and Gonzaga, who replace those schools in the field.

Men’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. BYU
  8. Northern Arizona
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Texas
  14. Arkansas
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Furman
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Michigan
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Michigan State
  25. Butler
  26. Southern Utah
  27. North Carolina
  28. Minnesota
  29. Portland
  30. Oregon
  31. Gonzaga

2:40 p.m. ET (17/18 regionals completed)

West men’s results are in — that’s 8/9 regions done (the Mountain region is done but results could take a little while to come in). Portland beat Oregon for third place, which means that, as things stand, Portland and North Carolina are in and Gonzaga and Boise State are out.

Article continues below player.
  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. Northern Arizona
  8. Colorado
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Texas
  14. Arkansas
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Furman
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Michigan
  20. BYU
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Michigan State
  25. Butler
  26. Southern Utah
  27. Utah State
  28. Colorado St.
  29. North Carolina
  30. Portland
  31. Oregon

2:07 p.m. ET (16/18 regionals completed) WOMEN’S FINAL PROJECTION (CORRECTED)

Turns out the Mountain Region results we used weren’t final yet. Our projection below didn’t change — it’s the same 31 teams — but they get in with a different order after accounting for the updated Mountain results.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Georgetown
  4. West Virginia
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. New Mexico
  8. Colorado
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. BYU
  20. Colorado St.
  21. Utah
  22. Providence
  23. Iowa State
  24. Northern Arizona
  25. Utah State
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Oregon

2:00 p.m. ET (16/18 regionals completed)

We’ve got men’s results for the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes, leaving only the Mountain and West to go. The main change here is that Michigan State beat Butler at Great Lakes, which means they get pushed in…and bump Portland out.

Men’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. Northern Arizona
  8. Colorado
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Texas
  14. Arkansas
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Furman
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Michigan
  20. BYU
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Oregon
  25. Gonzaga
  26. Michigan State
  27. Butler
  28. Southern Utah
  29. Boise State
  30. Utah State
  31. Colorado St.

1:45 p.m. ET (13/18 regionals completed)

The Mountain Region results are in, which means all nine women’s regionals have been completed. This is our projection, along with the logic.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Georgetown
  4. West Virginia
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. New Mexico
  8. Colorado
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. BYU
  20. Colorado St.
  21. Northern Arizona
  22. Utah
  23. Providence
  24. Iowa State
  25. Utah State
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Oregon

1:34 p.m. ET (12/18 regionals completed)

The Stanford women showed up in the West and won the region, with Washington second and Oregon third. Stanford’s surprise bumps UConn out of the field, with only the Mountain results still to come on the women’s side.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Georgetown
  4. West Virginia
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Providence
  22. Iowa State
  23. Northern Arizona
  24. Utah State
  25. Colorado St.
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Oregon

1:16 p.m. ET (11/18 regionals completed)

On the women’s side, Minnesota and OK State go 1-2 in the Midwest, with Iowa State likely to grab an at-large spot. The women’s field is almost determined with just two regionals remaining.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Georgetown
  4. West Virginia
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Oregon
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Providence
  22. Iowa State
  23. Northern Arizona
  24. Utah State
  25. Colorado St.
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Connecticut

1:14 p.m. ET (10/18 regionals completed)

Syracuse and Harvard men take the auto spots in the Northeast.

Men’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. Northern Arizona
  8. Colorado
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Texas
  14. Arkansas
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Furman
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Michigan
  20. BYU
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Oregon
  25. Gonzaga
  26. Butler
  27. Southern Utah
  28. Boise State
  29. Utah State
  30. Colorado St.
  31. Portland

12:39 p.m. ET (9/18 regionals completed)

We’re halfway there. Six women’s regionals done, three men’s. The men’s Southeast and South Central went chalk, so no changes to the men’s projection.

Men’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. Northern Arizona
  8. Colorado
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Texas
  14. Arkansas
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Furman
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Michigan
  20. BYU
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Oregon
  25. Gonzaga
  26. Butler
  27. Southern Utah
  28. Boise State
  29. Utah State
  30. Colorado St.
  31. Portland

12:32 p.m. ET (7/18 regionals completed)

We now have results in for six of the nine women’s regionals (just waiting on Midwest, Mountain, and West). The Mid-Atlantic went to form, which means there is no change from our last projection.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Georgetown
  4. West Virginia
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Oregon
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Providence
  22. Iowa State
  23. Northern Arizona
  24. Utah State
  25. Colorado St.
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Connecticut

12:27 p.m ET (6/18 regionals completed)

The Notre Dame women, who were only ranked 5th in the Great Lakes, won the regional, with Wisconsin taking second. The big news, however, was that Toledo was only 7th. That means that Toledo is now out and UConn is back in.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. West Virginia
  4. Georgetown
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Oregon
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Providence
  22. Iowa State
  23. Northern Arizona
  24. Utah State
  25. Colorado St.
  26. Alabama
  27. Michigan
  28. Michigan State
  29. Butler
  30. Villanova
  31. Connecticut

11:49 a.m. ET (5/18 regionals completed)

The results from the women’s race in the Northeast have come in, and Harvard’s upset victory has shaken things up in the projections, with Harvard bumping out UConn (who finished fourth in the Northeast). The Syracuse women grabbed the other auto from the region, while third-place Providence should get in on points.

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Michigan
  2. Wisconsin
  3. West Virginia
  4. Georgetown
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Harvard
  10. Syracuse
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Oregon
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Providence
  22. Iowa State
  23. Northern Arizona
  24. Utah State
  25. Colorado St.
  26. Michigan State
  27. Toledo
  28. Notre Dame
  29. Butler
  30. Alabama
  31. Villanova

11:30 a.m. ET (4/18 regionals completed)

We’re still waiting on the women’s results from the Northeast to come in, but we have added the women’s Southeast and South Central results below, where NC State, UNC, Arkansas, and Rice have all qualified. Rice will be going to NCAAs for the first time since 2010!

Women’s projection (logic)

  1. Michigan
  2. Wisconsin
  3. West Virginia
  4. Georgetown
  5. Minnesota
  6. Oklahoma State
  7. BYU
  8. New Mexico
  9. Syracuse
  10. Providence
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Florida State
  13. Arkansas
  14. Rice
  15. North Carolina St.
  16. North Carolina
  17. Oregon
  18. Washington
  19. Colorado
  20. Utah
  21. Iowa State
  22. Alabama
  23. Michigan State
  24. Toledo
  25. Notre Dame
  26. Butler
  27. Northern Arizona
  28. Utah State
  29. Colorado St.
  30. Villanova
  31. Connecticut

11:07 a.m. ET (2/18 regionals completed)

The South Region is over. The Ole Miss and Alabama men have joined the Ole Miss and Florida State women by clinching auto spots. The FSU men were third but they have plenty of at-large points and should be dancing on their home course next week.

Men’s projection (logic)

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Princeton
  4. Georgetown
  5. Oklahoma State
  6. Iowa State
  7. Northern Arizona
  8. Colorado
  9. Syracuse
  10. Harvard
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Alabama
  13. Arkansas
  14. Texas
  15. Furman
  16. Wake Forest
  17. Stanford
  18. Washington
  19. Michigan
  20. BYU
  21. Florida State
  22. Tulsa
  23. Air Force
  24. Oregon
  25. Gonzaga
  26. Butler
  27. Southern Utah
  28. Boise State
  29. Utah State
  30. Colorado St.
  31. Portland

10:21 a.m. ET (1/18 regionals completed)

The first race of the day, the women’s South Region, is complete. As expected, Ole Miss and Florida State took the auto spots and Alabama (who did not run 2020 NCAA third-placer Amaris Tyynismaa) finished third. Therefore the projections remain the same as they did before regionals.

Women’s projection (logic)

   1 Michigan
   2 Wisconsin
   3 West Virginia
   4 Georgetown
   5 Minnesota
   6 Oklahoma State
   7 BYU
   8 New Mexico
   9 Syracuse
  10 Providence
  11 Ole Miss
  12 Florida State
  13 Arkansas
  14 Texas
  15 North Carolina St.
  16 North Carolina
  17 Oregon
  18 Washington
  19 Colorado
  20 Utah
  21 Iowa State
  22 Alabama
  23 Michigan State
  24 Toledo
  25 Notre Dame
  26 Butler
  27 Northern Arizona
  28 Utah State
  29 Colorado St.
  30 Villanova
  31 Connecticut
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