Seriously, I'm rarely outraged, but listening to Rojo on this week's podcast was disgusting to say the least. I don't mind him rambling nonsense when it's not serious, but this topic is no joke.
The facts are clear:
- w/o drastic measures, number of cases is doubling every couple of days (check individual countries on
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
, without strong measures such as Italy until recently; notice there'll be a time lag until they have an effect)
- around 10-20% need hospitalization (ballpark numbers)
- you don't have to be a genius to realize that very soon the hospitals will be overwhelmed
Listen to experts, Sam Harris had somebody recently on this podcast (Prof. Christakis) and also Joe Rogan (Prof. Osterholm). From everything we know so far, without drastic containment measures capacity limits will be reached soon in the health care system.
According to the data, US went from 100 to 1k cases in 8 days. Current rate looks linear in logs, i.e. constant growth rate, i.e. that would mean 10k in 5 days, 100k in 13 days, 1M in 21 days, 10M in 29 days, which amounts to 1-2M people in hospitals. Of course states and cities and companies are already imposing drastic measures, so hopefully we won't get there.
Seriously, there is no rational explanation for why certain right-wingers in particular do not believe in science (there are also idiot left-wingers in general).
“Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”
― George Carlin