SUPER Early HS Millrose Mile Predictions

High School Running Distance

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4 years ago 12/26/2019 11:20pm EST

re: Predictor

Predictor wrote:
No chance in 1500 or 10k.

I wouldn't say no chance in the 1500. Top level high school females tend to run very well in the 1500 (see Kate Murphy, Christina Aragon, etc.). If she does a lot of speedwork and races the 600, 800, and 1000 more often indoors then she might have enough speed to run 4:06 outdoors. Slim chance, but it's possible. It does make more sense for her to try in the 5000 though because she's much closer to the standard. I would like to see her try a 10k though.

4 years ago 12/27/2019 7:40am EST

re: tuohy fan

I see you agree that it is impossible.

4 years ago 12/27/2019 9:23am EST

re: tuohy fan

tuohy fan wrote:
Predictor wrote:
No chance in 1500 or 10k.
I wouldn't say no chance in the 1500. Top level high school females tend to run very well in the 1500 (see Kate Murphy, Christina Aragon, etc.). If she does a lot of speedwork and races the 600, 800, and 1000 more often indoors then she might have enough speed to run 4:06 outdoors. Slim chance, but it's possible. It does make more sense for her to try in the 5000 though because she's much closer to the standard. I would like to see her try a 10k though.

Kate Murphy had 1500 PR of 4:14.26 before running her 4:07.21 at the adidas Boost Boston Games.

Katelyn Tuohy has a 1500 PR of 4:14.45 run at NY State Meet in 2018 where she had no competition.

Likewise, Tuohy had no competition when she ran the high school Mile record of 4:33.87 under hot humid conditions at NB Nationals in North Carolina.

A time of 4:06 may seem out of reach, but given the right race, conditions, pace and competition, who knows?

4 years ago 12/27/2019 9:29am EST

re: Maybe???

I know. She has leveled off.

4 years ago 12/27/2019 9:59am EST

re: Maybe???

4:09.5 was the olympic trials qualifying standard for the 1500m in 2016

4 years ago 12/27/2019 8:22pm EST

re: Predictor

Predictor wrote:
I see you agree that it is impossible.

I said that there's a slim chance and that it's not impossible. I don't see how you interpret that to mean that it's impossible. If you don't agree with my reasoning, then that's fine. Overall, if Tuohy focuses on making the trials in the 1500, I'd give her a 10% chance

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SUPER Early HS Millrose Mile Predictions

Of General Interest

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