Losing Weight wrote:
Okay, but the real question is if I were to get down to 120lbs, what do you think I could potentially run for the given distances?
This Runner's World article provides a cliff notes answer to your question:
https://www.runnersworld.com/nutrition-weight-loss/a20818092/whats-your-ideal-weight-find-out/Here's the weight loss conversion (based on a healthy diet and healthy weight):
2 lbs lost: 12.4 secs off 5k time; 25 secs for 10k; 52 secs for half; 1:45 for marathon.
5 lbs lost: 31 secs off 5k time; 1:02 for 10k; 2:11 for half; 4:22 for marathon.
10 lbs lost: 1:02 off 5k time; 2:04 for 10k; 4:22 for half; 8:44 for marathon.
20 lbs lost: 2:04 off 5k time; 4:08 for 10k; 8:44 for half; 17:28 for marathon.
But seriously, I strongly recommend checking out either "Racing Weight" or "Racing Weight Quick Start" by Fitzgerald. You can cop used copies super cheap on the internet. There are also some tools on the Racing Weight website. It can provide you with an evidence based answer to the questions you are asking: what your ideal healthy "racing weight" is, a formula for how much faster you tend to be after shedding some weight, and how to achieve an ideal weight in a healthy way. Basically, if you don't go about it in the right way, you'll be at a very serious increased risk of either suffering from energy depletion and train poorly, bonk/over train, or get injured.
Nothing in the books is revolutionary, but the info is presented extremely well. The books can help you understand what your healthy racing weight is and how to achieve and sustain it.
I'm not trying to be a hack for the author, but after about four years of languishing at a "skinny fat" weight, I read both books and got down to my ideal weight, and have been able to sustain it.
Alternatively, consult a sports dietitian for advice.