Look at Dyestat rankings. That is what the committee believes. Never has a Texas boys team been overrated. The past rankings speak for themselves. These rankings are prior to NXN. Don't even get me started on their individual rankings.
The thing that pisses me off the most, is that the Texas State champs for the boys have missed out on NXN two years in a row. When was the last time a non-Texas team went to NXN? Tuledo girls, in a year where they didn't even have regional qualifiers and overestimated that team? The Woodlands won state in 2017 and 2018, against top teams like Flower Mound, Southlake Carroll, and so forth, but bombed out at the Nike South regional meet both years. It was particularly frustrating because I thought for sure the Woodlands team in 2017 was a top 10 finisher if they didn't have a poor race. Can't say how good they were in 2018 comparatively speaking.
I am a bit upset that Flower Mound didn't get a bid for 2018. I mean, it's not like they didn't finish 14th last year and return 5 guys including their #1-#2 who are elite on a national level. I mean, as we saw at Footlocker South, where Texans dominated despite many top runners not running... Seriously, Texas goes #1-#2-#8 on the boys race, when we didn't even have Alex Maier (state champ), Jarrett Kirk (NXN South champ / last year state champ), Ryan Schoppe, and many more.
2017
Ranking: FM 23rd and SLC 26th.
Actual: FM finished 14th, SLC 19th.
2016
Ranking: The Woodlands 12, SLC 22, College Park unranked in to p30
Actual: The Woodlands 8th, SLC 11, CP 21
2015
Ranking: The Woodlands 10, SLC 30
Actual: The Woodlands 6, SLC 16
2014
Ranking: SLC 27, The Woodlands 29
Actual: SLC 19, The Woodlands 22
2013
Ranking: SLC 29, Hebron unranked in top 40
Actual: SLC 14, Hebron 21