How can't he wrote:
He is both the strongest guy in the field with his 13:15 5K, and the fastest guy in the field with a 3:55 and a 13:19 that he closed for the win in 56. It's also his home course, he's used to running in the cold, and he's not a stick skinny guy who would be more likely to suffer in this weather. Fast race, slow race, great weather, bad weather, I don't see a way around him. Anyone who does, how do you think it will happen?
I can see him losing. 1) This isn't a track race 2) Even if it was, I certainly think FIsher is capable of a 13:15. Fisher ran 13:30 in 2016 at age 19. McDonald ran 13:29 in 2016 at age 20. 3)I do think some guys struggle in the mud 4) What you are saying about the best PRs certainly was true for Cheserek when he lost to Tiernant right?
Now, I'm not sure Fisher will win because with it being wet it will be more like an 11k than a 5k. Of course I'm not sure why I think the longer distance would hurt Fisher more but that was my thought.
If you are guy that runs on your toes (I certainly don't think McDnonald is, but what about Fisher?) then you may struggle.
Here is what it looks like in Madison.https://twitter.com/jgault13/status/1063778893000249344https://twitter.com/jmlynski/status/1063776429442256901