We break the race which takes place at 8:25 pm ET on Saturday for you here:
We break the race which takes place at 8:25 pm ET on Saturday for you here:
In terms how you break down Rupp's chances, I have to disagree. Rupp has no kick in him, I 100% agree with that. However his endurance and aerobic capacity will be as good as anyone, even maybe better because of the marathon.
In 2015, Kamworwor promised a fast pace, which he did... Sort of 27 flat is a much more respectable time than the 27:20-27:30's that were consistently winning these championship races before. However it still is not anything mind boggling. I think the Kenyans are going to learn from that. If you recall the 1st half of the 10k in 2015 was not that fast (13:40) but they came back in 13:20ish. I'd imagine they will take it hard from the gun. I don't think a winning time of 26:40 is out of the question. And if the Kenyans throws down that sort of pace, I think Kamworwor will be the only Kenyan to survive along with Mo and Galen. So if it turns out be more of a race as to who can hang on the longest, I like his chances.
Correction: Mo Farah has been out-kicked over 10,000m in a championship race - World Championships to Jeilan (ETH).
1) Jeilan
2) Kamworor
3) Farah
4) Rupp
You heard it here first: the winner is someone not mentioned in your preview! I'll be back on Saturday to accept my congrats.
I posted this in another thread that went unnoticed-
who wins and medals in each?
1. Kenyans don't follow through on their promises for a fast race AGAIN, and it goes slower than 27:30. Does Rupp medal?
2. Pace is good at first, lags, then picks up. Winner is about 27:00
3. Karoki and Tanui get the pace going, and Kamworor finally follows through on the Kenyan promises, pushing middle section of the race through to the end. Pace is 26:30-26:40. Who wins?
4. If they actually go through in 13:10-13:20, is there any chance of WR?
Also, I think Kipchoge needs to be included in the GOAT distance runner conversation (if you are talking about Mt. Rushmore). I realize it is for journalistic purposes because the ones mentioned won the 10k twice. Just sayin.
Have any of the three Kenyans said they plan to attack the pace?
Yes- I'll look for the source but I know Kamworor has said they will. Plus after saying that last year's plan of attack was a 'success', I'd think they'll try something similar.
They aren't going to beat Farah if it is over ~26:40. The only chance is to make it so fast he breaks or gets scared and lets them go.
Salami wrote:
In terms how you break down Rupp's chances, I have to disagree. Rupp has no kick in him, I 100% agree with that. However his endurance and aerobic capacity will be as good as anyone, even maybe better because of the marathon.
In 2015, Kamworwor promised a fast pace, which he did... Sort of 27 flat is a much more respectable time than the 27:20-27:30's that were consistently winning these championship races before. However it still is not anything mind boggling. I think the Kenyans are going to learn from that. If you recall the 1st half of the 10k in 2015 was not that fast (13:40) but they came back in 13:20ish. I'd imagine they will take it hard from the gun. I don't think a winning time of 26:40 is out of the question. And if the Kenyans throws down that sort of pace, I think Kamworwor will be the only Kenyan to survive along with Mo and Galen. So if it turns out be more of a race as to who can hang on the longest, I like his chances.
Rupp's chance are not good unless the race is setup for him. In 2012 what helped him was he drafted behind a large pack (10+) for much of the race. Then drafted of the leaders (3-4) until the final 200m. Then he finally let lose. Unless that happens again his chances are not good for a medal.
So we're saying the guy who has the fastest PR in the filed doesn't have a good chance at any medal.
I understand he was "only" 5th last year but I don't trust the Kenyans ability to handle the Olympic pressure that they get form AK.
And the Ethiopians haven't been consistent themselves.
Of course Rupp has a shot. A good shot.
I'd even favor him to medal.
Go back watch that PR race. Setup Race.
You can go back and watch the London Olympics.
Or several other races where Rupp did well at 5000m.
Rupp beat Paul Tanui in his "setup" race and Tanui medaled last year.
Rupp is stronger this year and maybe he wasn't quite sharp at WCs last year.
Anyway, there are a lot of reasons he could do well or not.
But I have a feeling that he may have timed his fitness well for this one.
Rewatched the 2012 Oly 10k before my first post. Setup Race as I originally described. Unlikely to occur at Rio in 2016. The other runners know the Salazar plan. That plan has not changed.
You have the Women's 100m final on Saturday and the Men's 100m and 400m final on Sunday. Nobody cares about that jogging crap.
If they had the 100m on the first 2 days of the Olympics, most sports fans wouldn't bother to watch the rest of it.
Rupp == ZERO MEDALS
Mo and Salazar have said that Rupp would end up with a better 10k pb and could threaten the WR.
IF (and this if is more of a hope) Tanui/Karoki/Kam push the pace to 26:30, I think Rupp has a fantastic chance at a medal, if not favored for it.
I think only Kam, Mo and Rupp can run that fast.
They can't outkick Farah at ~27:00 (as evidenced by worlds last year), so why wouldn't they try to go ~26:40 and see?
I don't think any of them is i 26:30 shape.
LetsRun.com wrote:
We break the race which takes place at 8:25 pm ET on Saturday for you here:
http://www.letsrun.com/?p=121382
Farah is a doper. Will never be considered a great.
i'm going to fix that for you:Ben True == ZERO MEDALS
800 On Pure Hate wrote:
Rupp == ZERO MEDALS
I have bet on a Rupp double. You're all welcome on my yacht afterwards.