On roadie with friends. Stopped in Reno for a night. Sportsbook has Caster 8/1 to win 400. Felix is heavily favored. This seems like a good bet to me. Thoughts?
On roadie with friends. Stopped in Reno for a night. Sportsbook has Caster 8/1 to win 400. Felix is heavily favored. This seems like a good bet to me. Thoughts?
Insane value if you can get those odds. You wont find better than 2/1 at any online bookmaker
Felix won the Olympic Trials by running on a sprained ankle a full second faster than Semenya ever has. The contest is between Felix and Shaunae Miller. Semenya has dreams of 50, and that's about it, and might not even make the final.
Semenya's 400 was back in April and she won the race by nearly 3 seconds. I think it's safe to assume she's a lot faster than that.
Semenya will be in the lead at 200, then shut it down to finish 4th, therefore showing her "lack of advantage".
Bettingfool wrote:
On roadie with friends. Stopped in Reno for a night. Sportsbook has Caster 8/1 to win 400. Felix is heavily favored. This seems like a good bet to me. Thoughts?
Are you serious?? Because I've looked up odds (mostly from UK) and Caster is now the favorite in the 400 (about 1:1) and huge fav in 800 (1:7). If you are serious, I'm heading straight there to put 10k on Semenya. I'm dead serious.
That's highway robbery!
I took a look and see Felix as 10/11 and Semenya at 17/10.
I think if I was Shaunae Miller (6/1 at .01 behind Felix) I would take that as an insult. And McPherson at 20:1. They're just voting for names they've heard of, and they haven't heard of Miller and McPherson.
I would guess it's only that low because we don't know if Caster will run the 400. Assuming she does, 8-1 is a huge bargain! I'd say she's like 2-1 at worst to win if she runs it. I would say higher odds that that IF she had more 400 meter racing experience but since she doesn't, she might not maximize her potential at this point.
Trail Cat wrote:
Semenya will be in the lead at 200, then shut it down to finish 4th, therefore showing her "lack of advantage".
Wouldnt surprise me lose the 400m to protect the 800m
Semenya will run the 400 and 800 balls out and knock down a 43 high 400.
What are Semenya's odds in the 800?
8 to 1 is pretty good.
Any HS coaches on here? What can the average HS 1:55 boy run? It might not be faster than felix though.
The 2 guys I know who run 1:55 run it very differently. One of them is a 3:59 1500 guy with a 49 400 and the other is a 47.x 400 guy with a 4:1x 1500. I think caster is somewhere in between around 48.xx
rojo wrote:
What are Semenya's odds in the 800?
8 to 1 is pretty good.
Any HS coaches on here? What can the average HS 1:55 boy run? It might not be faster than felix though.
Everywhere I've seen (mostly online) has caster at less than 2:1 in the 400. I don't know how 8-1 would be available, I'd have to see it to believe it. Maybe it was 8-5 (almost 2-1) and you read it wrong?
It's at cal Neva in Reno. It is 8/1 in the 400. The 800 she was huge favorite. I don't remember but you had to lay a lot to win anything. William Hill run book. Might stop on way back and double up And I'll check the 800. They had most track events. It was like a 2 page future sheet. Also like Schippers +175 to win the 100. Pretty cool. Kiprop was big fav in 1500. -350. Rudisha was 3/2 in 800.
No, no, no, 1:55 doesn't mean sub 50. You all are nuts.
The real question is can Semenya break 1:50. That means sub 50.
Caster will do just enough to win the 800m so we still will not know how fast she can actually go. The 400m she will need to go flat out and one does not have to be Einstein to extrapolate her 400m time to her potential 800m time. If she ran the 1500m which normally just a sit and kick affair she would probably win that too.
According to her coach back in may, she wont do the 400m:
The 400m heats begin on Saturday, August 13, with the final on August 15, while the 800m first round takes place on Wednesday, August 17.
“No, it’s not going to be possible (to do both). You don’t want to take chances, so we won’t be going for the 400 as well. If the 800 had to be first at the Olympics, then of course, it wouldn’t have been a problem,†Verster told Independent Media.
When I was in 1:55 shape I could run a 51.x with minimal 400m specific training. Had I focused more on the 400m I am sure I could have done at least 1 second faster.
I can't see Semenya breaking 50 to be honest.