She just ran 15:10.
She only has a PR of 31:48, which doesn't deserve to go to the Olympics.
I know she's competitive as hell, but who's gonna beat her over 5000m? Huddle may only run the 10,000m. Abby is hit and miss in terms of health. Hall has been looking good and looks to be a lock. Tully should be good to go. If Huddle doesn't run, she is 3rd again. Infeld will run the 10,000m.
+1
Get Kim in the 5000 now. Brojos please bribe her to do so. It will generate publicity and help the sport.
Did Kim Conley not win the US 10k championship in 2014?
But I'll discuss.
These are the people who have the standard:
K Molly Huddle 14:48.14 Eugene OR (USA) 05/27/16
5K Emily Infeld 15:00.91 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16
5K Abbey D'Agostino 15:03.85 Heusden (BEL) 07/18/15
5K Nicole Tully 15:04.08 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
5K Marielle Hall 15:06.05 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16
5K Shelby Houlihan 15:06.22 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16
5K Kim Conley 15:09.31 Seattle WA (USA) 01/29/16
5K Shalane Flanagan 15:10.02 Eugene OR (USA) 06/28/15
5K Lauren Paquette 15:14.45 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
5K Molly Seidel 15:15.21 Birmingham AL (USA) 03/11/16
5K Stephanie Garcia 15:16.56 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
5K Katie Mackey 15:16.60 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
5K Ashley Higginson 15:18.53 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
5K Jessica Tonn 15:18.85 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
5K Allie Ostrander 15:21.85 Seattle WA (USA) 01/29/16
5K Jessica Tebo 15:21.88 Eagle Rock CA (USA) 05/20/16
5K Kellyn Taylor 15:22.10 Eagle Rock CA (USA) 05/20/16
5K Erin Finn 15:23.16 Birmingham AL (USA) 03/11/16
(from flotrack)
She's not a lock.
Here are the people who have made the 10k standard:
10K Shalane Flanagan 31:09.02 Stanford CA (USA) 04/03/15
10K Marielle Hall 31:37.45 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Emily Sisson 31:38.03 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
10K Emily Infeld 31:38.71 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
10K Molly Huddle 31:39.20 Eugene OR (USA) 06/25/15
10K Kellyn Taylor 31:40.70 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Liz Costello 31:43.79 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Alisha Williams 31:49.99 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
10K Erin Finn 31:51.84 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Laura Thweatt 31:52.94 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
10K Aliphine Bolton 31:54.20 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
10K Mattie Suver 31:54.43 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
10K Jordan Hasay 31:58.33 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Kim Conley 31:58.54 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15
10K Alia Gray 31:59.23 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Tara Welling 32:02.80 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
10K Amy Cragg 32:03.95 Eugene OR (USA) 06/25/15
10K Chelsea Sodaro 32:05.84 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15
10K Courtney Smith 32:08.32 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
10K Chelsea Blaase 32:08.39 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
10K Rochelle Kanuho 32:08.76 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15
10K Kaitlin Goodman 32:09.82 Stanford CA (USA) 04/03/15
10K Sara Slattery 32:13.03 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16
10K Emma Bates 32:13.28 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15
10K Stephanie Bruce 32:14.42 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16
She's not a lock here either.
Honestly, if she's training with Norcal (on average, a training group of milers), she ought to go for the 5k. With this being said, she identifies as a longer distance gal. I bet she has a future in Marathon.
The magic of track and field is that you never really know how fit someone is until they race. She has a couple of prep races in Portland over the next two weekends. We should be able to tell how ready she is on those results.
😀ðŸ˜ðŸ˜‚ wrote:
+1
Get Kim in the 5000 now. Brojos please bribe her to do so. It will generate publicity and help the sport.
I agree. She has charisma.
I think she has probably been training through races to peak at the Trials.
Time out. Let's revisit those lists in real time:
These are the people who have the standard and their CURRENT STATUS of fitness/health:
5K Molly Huddle 14:48.14 Eugene OR (USA) 05/27/16 - #1 USA women's distance runner on the track right now. Lock to make team.
5K Emily Infeld 15:00.91 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16 - HAS NOT RACED in 4 months due to injury. But my guess is 10K only.
5K Abbey D'Agostino 15:03.85 Heusden (BEL) 07/18/15 - Has been injured since indoors, but is very good when healthy, should make team.
5K Nicole Tully 15:04.08 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - NOT in good form.
5K Marielle Hall 15:06.05 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16 - Maybe 10K? NOT in good form for 5K.
5K Shelby Houlihan 15:06.22 New York NY (USA) 02/20/16 - Will run 1500m, don't think Jerry will put her in an event is inexperienced at running at the championship level.
5K Kim Conley 15:09.31 Seattle WA (USA) 01/29/16 - Looks OK now.
5K Shalane Flanagan 15:10.02 Eugene OR (USA) 06/28/15 - Not running track this year.
5K Lauren Paquette 15:14.45 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Not a factor.
5K Molly Seidel 15:15.21 Birmingham AL (USA) 03/11/16 - Injured
5K Stephanie Garcia 15:16.56 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Running 3KSC.
5K Katie Mackey 15:16.60 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - Up & Down, but a sleeper.
5K Ashley Higginson 15:18.53 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - Running 3KSC.
5K Jessica Tonn 15:18.85 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - Up & Down, but not a factor.
5K Allie Ostrander 15:21.85 Seattle WA (USA) 01/29/16 - Injured
5K Jessica Tebo 15:21.88 Eagle Rock CA (USA) 05/20/16 - Wetmore Factor = Sleeper!
5K Kellyn Taylor 15:22.10 Eagle Rock CA (USA) 05/20/16 - Marathoner, will run 10K b/c has no kick. Not a factor.
5K Erin Finn 15:23.16 Birmingham AL (USA) 03/11/16 - Injured
———————————
Here are the people who have made the 10k standard:
10K Shalane Flanagan 31:09.02 Stanford CA (USA) 04/03/15 - Not running track this year.
10K Marielle Hall 31:37.45 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Slepper in 10K.
10K Emily Sisson 31:38.03 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - NOT in good form. Not a factor.
10K Emily Infeld 31:38.71 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - see above comments. Very good when healthy, should make 10K team.
10K Molly Huddle 31:39.20 Eugene OR (USA) 06/25/15 - see above comments, 100% lock.
10K Kellyn Taylor 31:40.70 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Not a factor.
10K Liz Costello 31:43.79 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - NOT in good form & not a factor.
10K Alisha Williams 31:49.99 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - Not a factor.
10K Erin Finn 31:51.84 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Injured.
10K Laura Thweatt 31:52.94 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - Not a factor.
10K Aliphine Bolton 31:54.20 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - Wild card. Slepper in 10K.
10K Mattie Suver 31:54.43 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - NOT in good form. Not a factor.
10K Jordan Hasay 31:58.33 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - NOT in good form. Not a factor.
10K Kim Conley 31:58.54 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15 - Slepper in 10K.
10K Alia Gray 31:59.23 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Not a factor.
10K Tara Welling 32:02.80 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - Slepper in 10K.
10K Amy Cragg 32:03.95 Eugene OR (USA) 06/25/15 - Not running track.
10K Chelsea Sodaro 32:05.84 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15 - Not a factor.
10K Courtney Smith 32:08.32 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - Injured.
10K Chelsea Blaase 32:08.39 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - College kid is not a factor.
10K Rochelle Kanuho 32:08.76 Sacramento CA (USA) 12/06/15 - On & Off injures. But not a factor if healthy.
10K Kaitlin Goodman 32:09.82 Stanford CA (USA) 04/03/15 - Not a factor
10K Sara Slattery 32:13.03 Stanford CA (USA) 05/01/16 - Not a factor.
10K Emma Bates 32:13.28 Stanford CA (USA) 05/02/15 - Not a factor.
10K Stephanie Bruce 32:14.42 Stanford CA (USA) 04/01/16 - Injured. But not a factor if healthy.
Those truly competing for 5K spots are the following 8:
Molly, Emily, Hall, Abby, Kim, Mackey, Tebo + Grunwald (who is currently w/o standard).
And those who are really competing for the 10K team should be the following 6:
Molly, Emily, Hall, Kim, Aliphine, Welling
Everyone else is either hurt or non-factors. Astute move by Kim’s camp to opt for 10K. Less bodies to compete against. Plus if any of those players get hurt or have an off day at trials that is one less person to worry about.
She just said on Twitter that she's definitely running the 10 and then will evaluate after whether to run the 5.
Which is what most people thought she would do, anyway, even after today's blog post. With this schedule, there's no reason for her not to declare for both.
It makes no sense to double up, to have a remotest of chance to medal in Rio, you would only want to run one race. As it stands now the 10000, 5000, 1500 and 800 are going to be extremely difficult to medal in, only the 400 and the 3000s is there are good chance for a US medal
Run These Streets wrote:
Time out. Let's revisit those lists in real time:
Those truly competing for 5K spots are the following 8:
Molly, Emily, Hall, Abby, Kim, Mackey, Tebo + Grunwald (who is currently w/o standard).
And those who are really competing for the 10K team should be the following 6:
Molly, Emily, Hall, Kim, Aliphine, Welling
Everyone else is either hurt or non-factors. Astute move by Kim’s camp to opt for 10K. Less bodies to compete against. Plus if any of those players get hurt or have an off day at trials that is one less person to worry about.
I love your thoughts, and I agree with most of them.
But you are disregarding people who haven't had many race results so far. Some people don't like to race into shape, so you have no clue where their fitness is. That's one reason I love Eric Sowinsky; he races so often. If the race goes out slow, there's a chance someone pretty random could come through and make the team. Last year, Emily Infeld was one of those people. Kerri Gallagher still is one of them. Cas Loxsom (sort of). Clay Murphy (technically). In my opinion, Leo came through in a special way too. It's so hard to believe in those kind of preseason race results. That's the glory of our qualification system. It's surprising!
8FE wrote:
She just ran 15:10.
She only has a PR of 31:48, which doesn't deserve to go to the Olympics.
I know she's competitive as hell, but who's gonna beat her over 5000m? Huddle may only run the 10,000m. Abby is hit and miss in terms of health. Hall has been looking good and looks to be a lock. Tully should be good to go. If Huddle doesn't run, she is 3rd again. Infeld will run the 10,000m.
Her kick could get her on the 10,000 or the 5,000 team. She performs when it counts, and the 10k pr is definitely not as fast as she can go. Her mentality is probably looking towards the best chance for a high placing at Rio. I could see her medaling there in the 10k if things go perfectly, while in the 5k she has far lower odds. Even if she runs the 14:5x that she is capable of, the race will likely go faster than that. whereas if she can hang on to mid 31's, then she has a chance when a lot of people are dropped and it is down to the last kick.
Watch out for Kim Conley....But I'm Biased.
bump
DNF