Dude is killing it right now while some of the other U.S. contenders seem to be struggling. I see him as top 3 at the trials. What say ye?
Dude is killing it right now while some of the other U.S. contenders seem to be struggling. I see him as top 3 at the trials. What say ye?
In the 10,000 probably
I say yay
Yes. The question is in which event? (In both?)
It actually seems like he could qualify in any of three events: 1500, 5000, or 10000. Course rounds could affect him. But, he can run hard from the gun, handle surges and has a good kick so hard to imagine he couldn't finish in the top 3 whatever he chooses to run. Just based on how he's looked and the fact that Rupp, Hill, Centro, Derrick, Lagat and others all have various degrees of question marks right now.
I'd say that Mead is a safe bet to take at least one spot of the six total open between the 5K/10K. True looks good to fill in one of those as well. Rupp, unless injured is a lock for one at least one. (I assume he will only run the 10000 at Trials, or only run the 10000 at the Olympics). That's half the distance allotment for Rio.
Another spot will likely go to Chelenga or one of the naturualized army guys.
We'll see if Hill can get his mojo back. Derrick looks super doubtful. Lagat dropped out today but could be dangerous in a slow trials race with his kick. A miler like Torrence or Blankenship could be a factor in the 5000 for the same reason.
Definitely a lot of ways this can play out, but Mead looks as close to a lock as anybody right now.
Agreed. The 5K should be very interesting.
Dretch wrote:
It actually seems like he could qualify in any of three events: 1500, 5000, or 10000. Course rounds could affect him. But, he can run hard from the gun, handle surges and has a good kick so hard to imagine he couldn't finish in the top 3 whatever he chooses to run. Just based on how he's looked and the fact that Rupp, Hill, Centro, Derrick, Lagat and others all have various degrees of question marks right now.
I'd say that Mead is a safe bet to take at least one spot of the six total open between the 5K/10K. True looks good to fill in one of those as well. Rupp, unless injured is a lock for one at least one. (I assume he will only run the 10000 at Trials, or only run the 10000 at the Olympics). That's half the distance allotment for Rio.
Another spot will likely go to Chelenga or one of the naturualized army guys.
We'll see if Hill can get his mojo back. Derrick looks super doubtful. Lagat dropped out today but could be dangerous in a slow trials race with his kick. A miler like Torrence or Blankenship could be a factor in the 5000 for the same reason.
Definitely a lot of ways this can play out, but Mead looks as close to a lock as anybody right now.
Agree that mead is a good pick for 5 or 10.
Disagree on chelenga. He hasn't looked like his old self in a while and even mentioning him as a pick means you didn't see the race today. Horrible.
Dretch wrote:
It actually seems like he could qualify in any of three events: 1500, 5000, or 10000. Course rounds could affect him. But, he can run hard from the gun, handle surges and has a good kick so hard to imagine he couldn't finish in the top 3 whatever he chooses to run. Just based on how he's looked and the fact that Rupp, Hill, Centro, Derrick, Lagat and others all have various degrees of question marks right now.
I'd say that Mead is a safe bet to take at least one spot of the six total open between the 5K/10K. True looks good to fill in one of those as well. Rupp, unless injured is a lock for one at least one. (I assume he will only run the 10000 at Trials, or only run the 10000 at the Olympics). That's half the distance allotment for Rio.
Another spot will likely go to Chelenga or one of the naturualized army guys.
We'll see if Hill can get his mojo back. Derrick looks super doubtful. Lagat dropped out today but could be dangerous in a slow trials race with his kick. A miler like Torrence or Blankenship could be a factor in the 5000 for the same reason.
Definitely a lot of ways this can play out, but Mead looks as close to a lock as anybody right now.
since when is Hassan a 1500m runner? he ran 3:37 for gosh sakes. he has NO CHANCE in the 1500, in fact I doubt he would make the final at the trials.
5/10 sure. I bet he could make both teams
Dude is looking good.
he ran 3:37 but he beat a solid field of 1500m guys - Heath, Wheating, Gregorek, Atchoo, Callahan, Casey, Ulrey. perhaps none of them are fit, however...
but nonetheless, 13;04 is good. he will need to kick better if he wants to be competitive outside of the american scene. THat can come from more fitness or better kicking ability. He and row have time to figure that one out.
"Heath, Wheating, Gregorek, Atchoo, Callahan, Casey, Ulrey"
This not a solid field; most of these guys are toast.
Apulia Station wrote:
"Heath, Wheating, Gregorek, Atchoo, Callahan, Casey, Ulrey"
This not a solid field; most of these guys are toast.
Who else is there though? Manzano is worse than that crowd lately. Assuming Centro is healthy, he's got the top spot. Andrews should make it. So hypothetically, Mead would have to beat out guys like Blankenship and Torrence for the third spot. Certainly possible though I'm sure he wouldn't even attempt. Chances are obviously better in the 5 and 10.
Dretch wrote:
It actually seems like he could qualify in any of three events: 1500, 5000, or 10000. Course rounds could affect him. But, he can run hard from the gun, handle surges and has a good kick so hard to imagine he couldn't finish in the top 3 whatever he chooses to run. Just based on how he's looked and the fact that Rupp, Hill, Centro, Derrick, Lagat and others all have various degrees of question marks right now.
I'd say that Mead is a safe bet to take at least one spot of the six total open between the 5K/10K. True looks good to fill in one of those as well. Rupp, unless injured is a lock for one at least one. (I assume he will only run the 10000 at Trials, or only run the 10000 at the Olympics). That's half the distance allotment for Rio.
Another spot will likely go to Chelenga or one of the naturualized army guys.
We'll see if Hill can get his mojo back. Derrick looks super doubtful. Lagat dropped out today but could be dangerous in a slow trials race with his kick. A miler like Torrence or Blankenship could be a factor in the 5000 for the same reason.
Definitely a lot of ways this can play out, but Mead looks as close to a lock as anybody right now.
This would be a really good post if you hadn't mention Mead being a lock on the 1500.
"Could qualify" but certainly not a lock.
Moot point, I'm sure.
My guess right now is:
1500: Centro, Andrews, Blankenship
5000: Mead, True, probably Hill
10000: Rupp, ??? True or Mead doubling?, Chelenga?, somebody like Estrada?
Is there a list of Americans that have met the Olympic Standard for 10000?
Oh yeah, Jenkins. He has to be a safer pick than Chelenga at this point. Actually, Lagat is a better pick than Chelenga perhaps.
Here are my predictions as of now....
1500
1. Centro--he recovers form injury makes team
2 Andrews--In trials race, he will kick to place
3.Blankenship- Tough as nails and is learning when to kick.
Alternates- Torrence or Mcnamara -both looking good.
5k
1. Mead - He is on fire.
2. Hill -He will recover and make it.
3. True -Too consistent. He ran 13:12 at Pre and is still rusty. He will improve.
Alternate- Jenkins....could make it if either of top 3 falter or are injured. But will run 10k as back-up to make team.
10k
1. Rupp - He will crush field,
2. Mead - He will make it no problem (will run both to ensure selection)
3. Jenkins - In a slower Champs race, he will kick to take third....then will try to make 5k (but like Mead will run 10k to make sure he gets on his first Olympic team)
Alternate- Chelimo or Estrada- better chance in 10k than 5k....and if Mead or Jenkins makes 5k, they have a shot of going.
* True may do 10k too to ensure a spot, but will drop if makes 5k.
Here are my predictions as of now....
1500
1. Centro--he recovers form injury makes team
2 Andrews--In trials race, he will kick to place
3.Blankenship- Tough as nails and is learning when to kick.
Alternates- Torrence or Mcnamara -both looking good.
5k
1. Mead - He is on fire.
2. Hill -He will recover and make it.
3. True -Too consistent. He ran 13:12 at Pre and is still rusty. He will improve.
Alternate- Jenkins....could make it if either of top 3 falter or are injured. But will run 10k as back-up to make team.
10k
1. Rupp - He will crush field,
2. Mead - He will make it no problem (will run both to ensure selection)
3. Jenkins - In a slower Champs race, he will kick to take third....then will try to make 5k (but like Mead will run 10k to make sure he gets on his first Olympic team)
Alternate- Chelimo or Estrada- better chance in 10k than 5k....and if Mead or Jenkins makes 5k, they have a shot of going.
* True may do 10k too to ensure a spot, but will drop if makes 5k.
oldlegs wrote:
10k
1. Rupp - He will crush field,
2. Mead - He will make it no problem (will run both to ensure selection)
3. Jenkins - In a slower Champs race, he will kick to take third....then will try to make 5k (but like Mead will run 10k to make sure he gets on his first Olympic team)
Alternate- Chelimo or Estrada- better chance in 10k than 5k....and if Mead or Jenkins makes 5k, they have a shot of going.
* True may do 10k too to ensure a spot, but will drop if makes 5k.
Think you have to include Kipchirchir. Made the 10k World team last year and won the top section 5000m at Payton Jordan a few weeks ago with a 55 second close (13:18).
He sure is a lock now!
I'm glad he's going in the 5000, I feel like he has an outside shot in it, while I don't think he'd stand a chance in the 10000 (this go around at least)