Predict my 5000m

Was the 10 mile race the Cherry Blossom 10 miler?

It wasn't Cherry Blossom, was a smaller 10 Miler on the same day about 45mi North of DC so still had the same wind that CB10 experienced.

If you use Daniels' VDOT calculator, the 5k you ran in early March and the 10 miler are really similar efforts, so I think it would be reasonable to expect a similar time.

That being said, I could make a good argument for you running faster this time around. First and foremost, the track generally lends itself to faster times. Second, you will hopefully have more people around you. Finally, your workouts seem to be on par with a faster5k time than you produced.

Cutting against that is the fact that you are in the midst of some pretty heavy training. Also, not sure how experienced you are racing on the track. I could see getting pulled out too fast early on and paying the price as the race progresses.

For what it is worth, I ran in the mid 54:00 range for a recent windy 10 miler and thought that I was in about 15:50 5k shape (but was surprised to have run as well in the 10 miler as I did).

Bottom line: If I were a Vegas odds maker, I would se the over under at 15:51.

I'd take a 15:51 gladly. I'm certainly the type of runner who doesn't do well leading. The March 5K, I was 45sec ahead of 2nd. Felt good the whole race but didnt have that need/ability to push when I was alone. I was able to close that last 200 at 4:40 pace so had plenty in the tank. I think i could have run sub 55:00 at the 10 Miler on a calmer day, if it was a Half I think I would definately have slowed over the last 3.1 but I don't think it would have been a huge drop-off.

Either way felt strong today during the 8mi Tempo, combined small drop in mileage I'm hoping for good things. Really hope for a strong field of 15:45-50 runners to help string me along.

Report back!

15:45

Go for sub 16

Will certainly report back. I think I'll try and pace it as evenly as I can for the first half and not get caught up in what others are running. Targeting 76s/lap. If I can drop it further in the final four laps great, if not then I'll try and hang on for the ride.

CakeCakeCookie wrote:

Will certainly report back. I think I'll try and pace it as evenly as I can for the first half and not get caught up in what others are running. Targeting 76s/lap. If I can drop it further in the final four laps great, if not then I'll try and hang on for the ride.

Actually... I decided NOT to report back. Thanks for playing, though!

We have all waited more than a year. Now you disappoint us. At least you are alive and well!

17:23....I settled on that before opening the thread.

Men 5000 Meter Run

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Name Year School Finals

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1 kane, alex Psu-Abington 16:16.35

2 McDonough, Keegan Elizabethtow 16:22.62

3 Miller, Michael Gettysburg 16:37.14

4 Garges, John Eastern 16:42.79

5 Havrilla, Michael King's (Pa.) 16:48.63

6 Bender, Clayton Eastern 16:53.93

7 Kuchler, Kevin Catholic 16:58.99

8 Rossiter, Noah Gettysburg 16:59.04

9 costa, nelson Psu-Abington 17:00.72

10 Forino, Brandon Eastern 17:24.28

11 Lapsley, Noah Eastern 17:29.75

12 Labenberg, Darren Elizabethtow 17:49.65

13 Keith, Tyler Angel Track 18:32.14

14 Rossiter, Cole Angel Track 18:56.11

15 DeBrino, Tyler Catholic 19:03.65

16 Orwig, Kev Holy Family 19:13.03

17 Miguelino, Nick Howard CC 19:34.07

18 Clarkin-Wright, Collin Goucher 20:42.81

19 Brackbill, Ethan Psu-Harrisbu 20:49.59

-- Smith, Randy Unattached X16:40.96

-- Farias, Jake Unattached X18:19.57

Looks like it was 16:40. Why did you enter as Randy Smith instead of Howard Smith?

My prediction sucked.

Smoove wrote:

My prediction sucked.

There's a story there and it isn't the temperature (high 62 F, no wind/rain that day).