So I'm a college runner. Last year I broke 15 for the first time. Some information about the race to help: decently aggressive pace and died a bit in the last mile. If it was more evenly paced I think I could have run low 1450s. My question is, how far into my future do you guys think it'll be before I break 30, if at all.
Also I have a good distance progression, so I'm better at the 10 than the 5
You shoulda just kept going, you probably had a good chance to break 30 if you just continued.
Mundo Major wrote:
So I'm a college runner. Last year I broke 15 for the first time. Some information about the race to help: decently aggressive pace and died a bit in the last mile. If it was more evenly paced I think I could have run low 1450s. My question is, how far into my future do you guys think it'll be before I break 30, if at all.
Also I have a good distance progression, so I'm better at the 10 than the 5
Who knows? Keep doing what you've been doing, and don't get hurt.
letsrun insight wrote:
Mundo Major wrote:So I'm a college runner. Last year I broke 15 for the first time. Some information about the race to help: decently aggressive pace and died a bit in the last mile. If it was more evenly paced I think I could have run low 1450s. My question is, how far into my future do you guys think it'll be before I break 30, if at all.
Also I have a good distance progression, so I'm better at the 10 than the 5
Who knows? Keep doing what you've been doing, and don't get hurt.
^this.
I broke 15 indoor my freshman year. I didn't break 30 until my junior year, but when I did I went well under. I think I could have broken it my sophomore year if I had been in the right race.
The 10k is all about the race you are in, if you are set up perfectly and have good healthy training, I think you could take a crack at 30 this year. If not, you'll probably be in a better position to do it next year (without some kind of miracle race).
How far under did you get? Also what were you doing for mileage?
No offense to the OP but their is noooo chance that he breaks 30 a year after getting under 15 for the first time. That's such a huge jump
so can you give me a realistic timetable? I'm training with a new group of guys next semester, I think that could help out a lot.
What is your 800 pr? On a track or otherwise. Also, when you say you are training with a different group will that also involve a change in location and competition? You say you expect it to help a lot. Can you explain this further?
Sorry if this is akwardly phrased, cuz I'm just trying to understand more about the OP.
10000 of 31:09 for a 5000 time of 14:59 which is 86.57 percent
So what is your current 10000 pr?
Using the same formula a 29:59 equals a 14:25 5000 which is 89.95 percent
Runners who have run 3+ years in High School can usually progress by 5 percent in their college years.
For example:
A 14:25 5000 is 90 percent for an 18 year old male.
13:39 is 95 percent for a 22 year old male.
So you need to improve by 3.38 percent (89.95-86.57). If you are a freshman or Sophomore you might have a chance.
If your 10000 pr is much better than 31:09 you might also have a good chance.
JPNATUREVALLEY365 wrote:
You shoulda just kept going, you probably had a good chance to break 30 if you just continued.
Yeah I agree. You were on pace bro
I'm sorry, can you rephrase all of that?