Jolly Rodger wrote:
Too Bad wrote:[quote]
Hunter will probably not be like Virgin (who improved to 27:29 {8:47 per 3200m} despite being one of the best of all time as a soph and junior and senior) or Ritz (who ran 8:41m as a junior (65.13 a lap) and lengthened that to 65.68 a lap for 10k {27:22})
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Of course he will be like neither of them. Neither Ritz nor Virgin could close an 8:42 with a 54. The closest prep we've seen to Hunter is actually FIsher, and he isn't doing too badly competing 10K cross, much less the shorter stuff come track time.
Some facts...
Cross country, 2014- Fisher eased away from Hunter at Footlocker last year over the final 800m. He was a man amongst boys, and it showed. 10 seconds on 2nd place, making it look easy. Hunter was 4th.
Track, 2015- Fisher ran himself into the ground chasing sub-4:00 since indoor Nats, running college races, running a 4:00 time trial at state, traveling across the country for races, etc. He ran 6-8 races that were of 4:05 quality or faster. He was fried come New Balance, and especially USA Juniors. He had nothing left at that point. Hunter ran nothing hard until the Dream Mile. You could see who was hungry and fresh and who had been racing all winter and spring.
Ritz- Ran 14:29 to WIN Footlocker as a junior over a LOADED field of seniors. This is while looking like a 12 year old boy, mind you. Then ran 8:41.1 3200m as a junior, winning by close to 30 seconds in that race. That's with a 1600 best of around 4:06 that year. Ritz didn't lose a high school race from the 2M National Champs his sophomore year through the rest of his career. His senior year in cross was incredible- his 14:10 at the MI state meet, his 14:35 on the Kenosha course. He went through 2M in 9:02 at the state meet (and finished with a faster mile than Hunter did Saturday). His 14:35 was a full 20 seconds faster than his junior year Kenosha record (and hasn't been threatened since), so he was significantly better than his 14:29 junior year nationals shape. He destroyed Webb by 20 seconds, running 14:35, at nationals after walking through the first mile in 4:50. So let's keep things in perspective.
Drew is far more mature physically, and thus has much more speed at this point in their careers. Ritz did end up going 12:56 later in his career, so who knows how things will ultimately pan out.
All this said, Hunter is head and shoulders above the competition this fall, and will win easily, with or without Tomagno in the race. And just to prove I'm not underestimating him, I'm looking forward to him breaking 4:00 and maybe 8:35 in the spring.