Today on the track I ran a 5x1000 with 60s rest in 3:45, 3:37, 3:42, 3:41, 3:37 with 20 minute wu/wd. My base is 20-30 mpw for the last 6 weeks (and 10-20 before that). Predict my golf course 5k.
I promise to respond favorably to anybody who says I can run 17:30 or faster and to debate vehemently anybody who says I can run 18:30-19:00 and to outright ignore anybody who says slower--right up to the date of the 5K. However, after the 5K I will not come back on this thread and settle things.
DNF
17:31-18:29
my guess wrote:
17:31-18:29
Sorry, not an option. Try again.
You should be disappointed if you don't break 17, and 16:40 isn't out of the question. (assuming a fast course).
your times on a track add up to 18.22. golf course will be slower than a track surface. you also dont have rest on each rep. im guessing you will struggle to break 18.30 to be honest. unless you jogged this workout
This. 1000 reps isn't a good predictor.
Try 1600 x 4 with 90s rest, then you will have a better idea on your 5k ability.
I ran those fairly close to those splits last year and ran an 18:01 so I'll go with that.
Let us know how you do. I'm always curious to know how these things turn out.
Human Torch wrote:
You should be disappointed if you don't break 17, and 16:40 isn't out of the question. (assuming a fast course).
I think you are definitely right. I was thinking I might be able to get low 16s since the course is mostly downhill.
guesserer wrote:
I ran those fairly close to those splits last year and ran an 18:01 so I'll go with that.
Let us know how you do. I'm always curious to know how these things turn out.
In all seriousness, I thumbed through a dozen of these threads yesterday trying to see what people ended up running. Given the dearth of threads like this that have actual follow-through, I'm kicking around the idea of running another one in two weeks (race is in four weeks) and appending the results to this thread. Either way, I'll follow-through through with the post-race result (a rare treat around here).
For the record, I'll put up 18:37. To the poster who said I might struggle to break 18:30, that's pretty much what I think as well. I figure I'll get a race-day boost for full effort but then again there's no rest between those 1000s.
Thinking about this as a predictor workout... I was pretty tired at the end. Mindlessly running through the last few 1000s, not struggling, but not wanting it to continue... 6:00 pace feels about right to me. I'm quite sure I couldn't have run 18:01 today.