I have a bet going with a friend and former college teammate that I could run a 2:10 800 by 10/10. I haven't done any training and have run very sparingly in the last year. What are my chances of doing it?
Some background:
Last ran consistently in Spring 2014 best times that year were 2:01 and 10:10 for steeple
800m PR 1:56 2013 indoor season
do intervals, like 6x200 in 32. you gotta relearn what 2:10 pace feels like so you go out at a reasonable pace (63ish)
Have you gained significant weight since 2014 when you ran those times? If you haven't physically changed shape I think you'd probably have a chance. I like the idea of running lots of 2's. Maybe hit the track every other day for some 200s @ 32. Then run a couple miles easy on the off days.
What kind of a bet are we talking? Personally speaking it wouldn't be worth the effort for me unless we were talking probably around $500. Of course I'd have to make sure the guy was going to pay! I might feel bad taking my friend's money though, but only until I purchase a new iPhone 6.
Anyway, any recent race results to share? Ideally a recent mile result would be really helpful but that's probably a long shot. Anything under 5:44 on 0 miles and I'd say you have a chance though.
GLHF
I would say there is about 0% chance