I think they'll run against each other at Helsinki, and Noguchi will pull away with 5km to go. I really can't see Paula defeating Noguchi in a championship race. Mizuki should have won Paris, but she didn't maker her move in the Bergere but stayed with her teammates. That cost her. Mizuki is much smarter now and she'll blast the two older runners(Ndereba and Paula)when they next meet.
Ndereba did not push too much for that win. In fact, she stayed in back of the back 1/2 way through (I think). When there was a slight up pace, she did not worry at all- stayed way back on her pace. It makes me think she was just testing the -ve split for Athens the following year- to see how that would suit her body. She easily ran away from the field and did not push much, as I recall. She almost got tripped by Noguchi thought- long legs.
1 Marathons are not very predictable. Perhaps half the runner with a chance two months before the race will be in good shape on the start line.
2 To beat Paula she knows she will have to run a lot faster if Noguchi overtrains trying to get into 2:15 shape she will be lucky to make the start line.
When are you going to wake up to just how good Paula is. Noguchi. in running terms,is not fit to tie up Paula's shoe laces.
I in the boat that Noguchi will defeat Radcliffe the next time they race. She is too tough and too consistent and the Olympic Champion. However, I fear they will never meet.
How can you actually run, and not know anything about your sport. Clearly Paula would destroy Noguchi. I think you're just posting bullshit to get a reaction.
So if a 5hr plodder had entered and finished a marathon, but Nogouchi had had to drop out because of stomach problems, you'd back the plodder to win a re-match?
And if you'd seen any of her previous marathons, you'd realise that Paula drops the pacemakers early on. It doesn't matter if it's a championship race or not, 26.2 miles is 26.2 miles and nobody can get near her when she's fit.
I hate to throw cold water on this discussion, but Noguchi is ineligible to run in the world championships in Helsinki next year because she ran in the olympics.
sato wrote:
I hate to throw cold water on this discussion, but Noguchi is ineligible to run in the world championships in Helsinki next year because she ran in the olympics.
Why is this, is it something to do with the Japanese federation?
Yes, I don't have the link to the source available, but I read that the JAAF will choose a different team for the world championships. And I don't see the likelihood of Paula and Noguchi ever meeting after that, unless it's in Beijing in '08. I think their paths will always cross. Just my guess, but if Noguchi runs in the U.S. next year it might be Berlin. I hope that Jason will chime in on this. He knows a lot about the Japanese women.
" Just my guess, but if Noguchi runs in the U.S. next year it might be Berlin."
Is that Berlin New Hampshire?
Is that Berlin New Hampshire?
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Forgive me. I'm really not a dunce when it comes to geography. What I meant to say is if Noguchi runs in Europe it will be Berlin. (I don't foresee Noguchi running in the U.S.)
bump
I notice that I started a topic with a different name and didn't change back when I replied. Sorry.
UK Runner wrote:
Clearly Paula would destroy Noguchi. I think you're just posting bullshit to get a reaction.
So if a 5hr plodder had entered and finished a marathon, but Nogouchi had had to drop out because of stomach problems, you'd back the plodder to win a re-match?
when are you any the other Brit lickarses gonna give Noguchi the credit she deserves???
wake up will ya.
"And I don't see the likelihood of Paula and Noguchi ever meeting after that, unless it's in Beijing in '08."
They will meet at the
FLORA LONDON MARATHON 2005
Sato,
Read link. I don't think Noguchi is ineligible, I think that she is just not a shoe in= She must run in Osaka if they don't give her the exemption wanted.