Boys' Dream Mile Predictions Anyone?

Several states have their high shool championships or qualifying rounds on the weekend of the meet including all three west coast states.

Would you pass up state to run this race?

definitely, this race is a chance to see how you stack up against the best in the nation and a good chance at running sub 4, which will put you in the history books. It isn't likely that this will happen at states

sean mcgorty and ben malone both looked threatening at penn. I wouldn't count either out.

If you qualify for the Dream mile then you are the favorite in your state for the mile. And if you are part of a decent team - then you are passing on a prior commitment to your team, coach and school - and a likely state championship.

Tough call ... but I think you stay @ home. There are other post season meets.

Saarel is a beast that doesn't lose.

numbler ln e wrote:

sean mcgorty and ben malone both looked threatening at penn. I wouldn't count either out.

Yeah, you're definitely right. wow, this year's field is going to be amazing.

I'm going with Montoya or burcham. Montoya's workout on flotrack amazed me. Burcham has a chance in my opinion but cannot afford to do what he did at Brooks PR this year...

Burcham's good, but he lost to Brock Baker and Jacob Thompson at Eastern Relays in 4:08, so i just don't think he has the finishing speed to beat montoya, arroyo, or saarel

Ya I can definitely see your point there, it was more of a sentimental pick for me because I know the oklahoma coach who is giving burcham a full ride

Arroya FTW 4:00.5

Andres Arroyo

Ben Saarel

Bernie Montoya

No way Saarel can go sub 4, he's only at 4:08 right now.

arroyo 3:58.25

I'm going to give my pillow another try :) Chance of getting up at 5am - zero. Unless you were going to be at the gym. Then I'd get out of my "bed" for you. That's love.

Bernie Montoya - 3:58.8

Andres Arroyo - 3:59.3

Ben Saarel - 3:59.9

Edward Cheserek - 4:00.2

Sean McGorty - 4:01.1

Has Burcham done anything notable this season? I saw his sub-9 at Arcadia, but other than that, I haven't seen any big runs from him so far. Any other possible suspects who could qualify? Ben Malone? Jacob Thomson?

I think the real excitement will be seeing: 1) If the other guys can take the kick out of Bernie and Andres in the first 1000 and 2) If it comes down to a kick, who's got the wheels. Bernie has been known for his kick, but Andres has been blazing fast this year and will definitely make him work for it.

Just A Guess wrote:

I think the real excitement will be seeing: 1) If the other guys can take the kick out of Bernie and Andres in the first 1000 and 2) If it comes down to a kick, who's got the wheels. Bernie has been known for his kick, but Andres has been blazing fast this year and will definitely make him work for it.

Malone has a huge kick. He closed Penn in something like 55 seconds. That also suggests that he could have gone faster if he didn't save up for the kick and ran a little more even. Not saying they will, but I can see Arroyo and Bernie going sub 4 and Malone coming close. I don't think malone is quite there yet, but he's got the most speed of the dream milers other than Arroyo.

i feel like malone does have it in him it's just his mono that has stopped him.....but this season if malone has a good race at the dream mile i feel like he will have it in him for a sub 4

Just a Guess said:

Bernie Montoya - 3:58.8

Andres Arroyo - 3:59.3

Ben Saarel - 3:59.9

Edward Cheserek - 4:00.2

Sean McGorty - 4:01.1

Has Burcham done anything notable this season? I saw his sub-9 at Arcadia, but other than that, I haven't seen any big runs from him so far. Any other possible suspects who could qualify? Ben Malone? Jacob Thomson?

I think the real excitement will be seeing: 1) If the other guys can take the kick out of Bernie and Andres in the first 1000 and 2) If it comes down to a kick, who's got the wheels. Bernie has been known for his kick, but Andres has been blazing fast this year and will definitely make him work

So you think Saarel will go sub 4, but Cheserek and McGorty won't? OK, maybe he will go sub-4 if he has a great race, but I don't think there is any way he will outkick Cheserek, McGorty or Malone, who all have much faster 800 pr's. And yes he has closed in 54 twice, but I highly doubt that he will be able to do that off of the fast pace at the dream mile.

You win state, and that goes on the water tower.

Imagine breaking 4, winning the state title, faster than the dream mile. A few of these guys can definitely do it.