Prediction Tread - How fast will Edward Cheserak Run in the Spring?

mile - 4:00

2 mile - 8:20

I believe he will go Sub-4.

if he has sub-4 strength, he will go below 1:50. don't forget, he ran a 49 second relay leg last year. if nick symmonds can go 1:44 with 48.x and 3:56, ches can go at least 1:49 with 49.x and 3:58

he'll probably run in a college 5k (not a ridiculously fast one) like he did last year, so i'm going to say:

800: 1:49.8

Mile: 3:58.8

2 mile: 8:31.7

5000m: 13:55

ya but you need to remember that nick never really goes after a time, he just goes for the win and he can most definitely go faster than 48. and these two guys are completely different runners as well, cheserek being more of a longer, hammer away kind of kid, while nick is a shorter, strength based 800m runner who runs conservatively

that being said, i dont think cheserek will go under 4:00 (tho I'd like to be wrong at least at some point) and i dont see him goin 8:35 in the 2 mile as, like the OP said, he just never gets into fast enough races, but sub 8:40 seems almost a given. idk, i just dont really see this kid running that fast, definitely will be running fast, but not LV fast. maybe his senior year but i think saying no sub 4 is a safe bet.

people dont seem to realize what it means to go under 4. LV with a 1406 indoor 5k (probably closer to sub 13:50 outdoors with the same shape he was in for 2 miles) 8:43 indoors and 8:29 outdoors just nicked sub 4 last year and he is by far one of the strongest aerobically hs'ers. rupp had comparable marks in hs and about the same as cheserek yet didnt go under. i think that since LV broke it last year, only 10 years after webb (2 hs sub 4's in 10n years in the most we've seen in YEARS) people are assuming the floodgate will just open up as it did for americans under 13 for 5k. we're defnitely getting closer to that "floodgate" point but i think it wont be for another couple of years before we start seeing hs'ers under 4 more frequently then every 10 years

Your right, sub 4 is not something that happens every year, i completely agree. But Edward is also not something that happens every year. He was only a few seconds off lukas every time they raced last year, the biggest gap was 4 seconds at the dream mile where edward ran 4:03 - faster then luaks did the previous year.

Ok, maybe it was a faster race overall but still the conditions were much worse and you have to account for that. In my heart of hearts, i think edward will break Alan Webb's record, not this year, but next year.

He is extremely talented (obvious) but he is get progressively better every season and is learning a sense of pace.

The biggest problems that Eddy will probably face is getting into the right races... he is on an actual team, unlike rival lukas, so he probably can't set up the 4 races he wants to do, but maybe he will run a professional race or college.

I just really think that you guys are UNDERESTIMATING this guy, he is sooo good, and can push the pace by himself.

He runs sub 4 at dream mile this year for sure.

He will probably beat Germans marks in the 2 mile, i say this because German did that by himself and German is better then lukas but not as good as Edward.

I could see his coach putting him into a serious college race in the 5k, and if he does that, he will beat GAYlan.

this is his Junior year.....