In 1954 Roger Bannister was the first man to break 4 minute mile.
In 1996 Daniel Komen ran 7:20.67 for 3k (worth about 7:54 for a 2 mile), and in 1997 ran 7:58 for 2 miles.
The current 5k world record is 12:37, equivalent to 4:04 per mile pace set in 2004.
So when do we see 12:24, can anyone currently running get there?
Since we haven't seen a sub-4 pace 2 mile or 3000 equivalent since Komen, I think it's doubtful anyone currently running will run 3.1 miles at sub-4 pace. Someday it will happen, but it will be a long time.
Rudisha is the man to do it.
Nawnw wrote:
Since we haven't seen a sub-4 pace 2 mile or 3000 equivalent since Komen, I think it's doubtful anyone currently running will run 3.1 miles at sub-4 pace. Someday it will happen, but it will be a long time.
Isn't sub 7:30 equivalent to sub 8:00 3200? Plenty of those every year. Ok, adjust for the extra few meters.
You going to blatantly ignore Matt Tegenkamp?
ever heard of Jordan Hassay?
fff wrote:
Rudisha is the man to do it.
what a shiny lure you have there!
Haile G tried REALLY hard to break 8 minutes of the two mile but could never do it. It's hard to see someone coming through 2 miles faster than Geb's 2 mile PR pace and doing another 1+ mile at the same pace. I'm not saying it's impossible, but think of, say, a 7:06 3000, or a 1200 in 2:31.5.
What about that Alamirew kid? A 7:27 3k at 21 ain't no joke...
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/country=eth/athcode=257388/index.html
Or the 17 year old Kenyan who ran 12:53 indoors, Isiaiah Koech
http://www.iaaf.org/news/kind=100/newsid=59287.html
These guys may have a chance, a small chance though...
Maybe if they develop the 7 habits.
stuck with match.com wrote:
ever heard of Jordan Hassay?
Fail
Paradigm Shift wrote:
What about that Alamirew kid? A 7:27 3k at 21 ain't no joke...
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/country=eth/athcode=257388/index.htmlOr the 17 year old Kenyan who ran 12:53 indoors, Isiaiah Koech
http://www.iaaf.org/news/kind=100/newsid=59287.htmlThese guys may have a chance, a small chance though...
Daniel Komen ran 7:20 when he was 20. Eliud Kipchoge ran 12:52 when he was 18, in the process outkicking Bekele and El Guerrouj in the WC final. Given that neither of them could come close to running the 5000 at sub-four-minute-mile pace, there is no reason to think that the two you mentioned could either.
Bekele is already running 4:04 miles! I was able to drop my mile PR from 7:30 to 7:15 in a week, I'm sure if he works hard enough and believes in himself, he can do it!
Bolt could probably do it in 4-5 years if he trained for it.
There's a thread about how a sub 2 marathon will never happen, but there's people who believe a 12:24 will happen?
coach bigfoot wrote:
There's a thread about how a sub 2 marathon will never happen, but there's people who believe a 12:24 will happen?
Both WILL eventually happen. I think the question is how many years, decades, etc. we will have to wait to see it. It is crazy to think about someone stringing 3 sub-4s together in a row, but people in the 1960s would have said the same thing about two of them.
Sub 2 will happen way before 12:24. Also it should really be 12:25.64.
He Hate Me wrote:
coach bigfoot wrote:There's a thread about how a sub 2 marathon will never happen, but there's people who believe a 12:24 will happen?
Both WILL eventually happen.
Not necessarily. 12:24 may be beyond the scope of human ability.
It all depends on how good and plentiful the drugs of the future will be. Keep in mind that the current clean world record is probably in the 12:50-12:55 range, so no one is even close to (naturally) sniffing a 12:24 right now.
Maybe this will happen today??
Crazy the sub 2 marathon has happened since this post, even if shoes were a contributing factor Kipchoge still had to run it and be in really good shape.