From what I know, Oregon is at the bottom of the list, probably because of academics, but who knows what will happen after a visit. I think the Rosa's were beat up by the end of November last year; the early season high level invitationals on courses like Belmont and VCP, combined with then 3 straight weeks of running on the Holmdel course, which is the NJ championship pathway and back to VCP for the FLNE ...that's a very difficult season to survive. Couple that with the fast that the Rosa's continue to run hard even when they are way out in front. I have always felt that most of NJ's top kids are tired by the time the National championships come around.
Not counting what they did at Holmdel and VCP last year, their marks at Belmont in September last year were amazing. There are D1 schools that do tempo runs on the Belmont H.S. course and from my own experience; an NCAA all-American would struggle to run as fast as they did. I suspect their peak fitness last year was in mid November, unfortunately, there is no way to avoid the talent pool or get around the way the NJ XC season is structured or XC in the NE in general. I know this is a similar situation in other areas of the country, but perhaps not as brutal.