I think it is safe to assume that there will always be something to dope with for which no current test exists, and that there will always be someone willing to dope.
With that in mind, which WR of the current crop do you think will be the last to fall?
I'm guessing FloJo's 10.49, because it was doped AND the wind gauge was faulty AND she ran an excellent race.
My order:
1st) Women's 100
2nd) Men's 3000
3rd) Men's Long Jump
4th) Women's Marathon
Mike Powell's long jump record is 19 years old.
Men's 3k indoor/outdoor.
insane records, Komen was on a level still unheard of.
400h It's already 18 years old and not that many people do it. No one has broken the previous world record since then and, like the 110's, the need for rhythm limits the pure speedsters from coming in and winning on talent alone.
Women's 3000m.
/thread
Honestly, I think most of the women's records will be very hard to break since almost all are held by dopers. I think only the pole vault might be broken in the near future (an event that requires a lot of skill).
Les wrote:
Honestly, I think most of the women's records will be very hard to break since almost all are held by dopers. I think only the pole vault might be broken in the near future (an event that requires a lot of skill).
I don't mention the women's 800, 1500, 3000, and 10,000 because I think those are an abomination to the sport. I recognize many world records are doping enhanced, but those records make me sick and should be wiped from the books. If anything, they encourage women to cheat.
Fair enough, but which one do you think will be the most enduring?
The Biggest Boss wrote:
I don't mention the women's 800, 1500, 3000, and 10,000 because I think those are an abomination to the sport. I recognize many world records are doping enhanced, but those records make me sick and should be wiped from the books. If anything, they encourage women to cheat.
Absolutely. I'll stick with the men's records.
1. 3000
2. 1500
It is difficult to choose the 1500 since athletes can run very fast 1500's much more frequently than they can the 10k or even 5k, but 3:26 looks like it will stand for a long time.
women's 400m will last longer than the marathon.
I don't think the women's 400 WR will last that long.
Somebody like Allyson Felix, who to me seems an under-performer in 400m given her 100m and 200m times, should be able to give it a good run.
Or better yet, wait until Caster Semenya moves down to the 400m!
I know your specify track only but if we expanded the criteria a little I would say the
women's marathon
It wouldn't suprise me too much if Jeter breaks the 10.49 in Deagu or London. But the 21.34 is something else. Watch VCB and Allyson Felix battle it out....and realize that they would be a HALF SECOND behind.
The T&F WR that might NEVER be broken is JJK's heptathlon.
I know I specified track, but what I meant was any track, field, combined, or marathon event.
And no-longer-run and infrequently-run races don't count--100 yards, 300m, etc.
I think every Men's record is in play, Komen's 3000m is great, but at this point, the 5k looks just as good, when is the last time someone ran with in 10 seconds of the 5k WR? The 3k is definitely stronger but if someone gets into the sort of shape where they can make a run at the 5k I think they can make a run at the 3k too.
1500m/mile are great, but a great 1500m runner can get so many shots at it, I think it is just waiting for the next huge talent.
800m is going to go down before any of those events, too many people are too close.
10k I thought would have been broken by now, I thought Bekele had a 26:0x in him, but it doesn't look that way. If somebody gets themselves into 12:40 flat shape this is going down.
Marathon/HM are going down soon, those events are just exploding.
If Usain Bolt doesn't break the 100/200 records again I don't think they will be broken for at least the rest of my life. He is too other worldly
110HH is going down.
400IH will take a special athlete, I could see that one hanging around for another decade or two.
400m I want to say will get broken, but 43.18 is just sooooo fast. The US is really the only country putting out people who can challenge it.
I'd say the 100, 200, once Bolt is done with them, will be around the longest for the men.
I legitimately believe that of the current Women's running WRs, more will still be on the books when I die than will come off of them. All the Middle Distance records, the 100, the 200, the marathon, out of this world.
Alright Treetotler, but if you had to pick just one, which would it be?
Clearly the 3k world record isn't going to be broken, 7:20 that is just insane. Daniel Komen is a freak of nature.
I'm surprised nobody has metioned the 800 or mile yet...like a 1:41.xx and 3:43.18, those not going down for a loooong time.
I see bolts records lasting a while, but I think hes juicing so those don't count to me.
Rudisha, A 21 YEAR OLD KID, just ran 141.51 so I wouldn't be surprised if the 800m WR goes down very soon, at most 2 years.
The mile/1500m seem safe for now but there seems to be alot of young talent (Gregson, Wheating, Kiplagat, Kiprop). Kiplagat just ran 329.xx and was basically and unknown before so who knows his true capabilities. I believe Kiprop can make a legitimate run at it given his ability at 800 (143.17) as well as 1500/mile.