Is there any method or tips on how to predict times for upcoming races and distances, both for say a race in a week or a ceiling for the season/career?
Assuming you have access or know past running experience and workouts, future running plans, prs in key distances shouldn't there be a basic range that coaches or athletes could use as accurate goals?
1.4626 * 4x400 avg w/30 sec rest is your Western States goal pace.
Well I was hoping to be more precise than that. I also want a money-back guarantee to how accurate your formula is.
Anyone have serious tips?
Mcmillion running calculator
spelled correctly, of course. mcmillan
ventolin^3 will tell you.
McMillan requires a current race and doesn't take into account strengths or weaknesses of runners. I was just hoping for tips on how all of these people take workout times and predict race times. I understand a lot of it will come from experience. I'm just looking for a place to start.
I think people usually do it by comparing workouts from previous years.
I ran 100 mile repeats at 5:00 pace and ran a marathon at 4:30 pace last year, this year I ran 100 mile repeats at 4:55 pace so I'll shoot for 4:25 pace for the marathon.
Other than that a lot of it is probably holistic.
You want a "basic range" or "just a place to start," yet somehow the McMillan calculator (or Daniels Vdot tables) aren't good enough? What more do you want?
Maybe I am being too greedy?
McMillan isn't what I'm looking for because its for equivalent races at the current moment in time. I am wondering more of how to assess the potential of my athletes, using mileage and workouts to extrapolate from previous pr's.
You can come over to borrow my crystal ball sometime.
take yor current 800m time, so if it is 2min that is 60sec per 400m.
so your 1500m should be 64 per 400m, 68sec per 400 for 3k and 72 sec for 5k any big deviations should show weakness in your training.
And 2 x 5k times plus 1 min will give potential 10k time, again any big deviation will show weakness in training scedule.
No, because everyone is different
If you are regularly racing then you should know what shape your athlete is in or as someone above suggested compare previous sessions and race times
'or a ceiling for the season/career?' That more than anything sums up why not to do predictions