Predictions for NCAAs

I agree except Andrews in the 800, and Hasay in the 1500.. I am rooting for her but she wont win the 1500 this year.

Through the Glass wrote:

Who do you think will win?

800m- Wheating stops Andrews' dominance

1500m- Wheating, but LEe Emanuel being fresh could challenge

Steeple- Matt Hughes

5k- i'm taking Chelanga, but with his health and depending how tired he is, i wouldn't be surprised if David McNeill could win it

10k- Chelanga, but if he DNF's because of injuries, i'm taking Barnicle

On the female side

800m- Phoebe Wright

1500m- Hasay pulls it off and finally lives up to her hype

Steeple- Bridget Franek

5k- Lisa Koll

10k- Lisa Koll

go ahead and throw in any sprints/field predictions

My wild-ass guesses:

800 - Wheating

15 - Emmanuel

Steeple - Bor

5K - McNeill

10K - Chelanga

Team: Florida

800 - Wright

15 - No idea, so I'll say Buckman?

Steeple - Franek

5K - Bizzarri

10K - Koll

Team: Oregon

100 - Demps

200 - Sorillo

400 - James

800 - Andrews

1500 - Centro

5000 - McNeil

10000 - Chelanga

110HH - Ash

400IH - Dutch

4x1 - UF

4x4 - UF

Team - Florida

Women - TAMU

800- it'll be tactical, and wheating will take it I think.

1500- wheating will be tired, Lee will take his kick out (like usual) will about 500 to go and barely win.

5k- david mcneil looked great at regionals just cruising...I don't think sam will be able to pull it off after the 10k finals.

10k- it's either going to be a very tactical race and come down to a kickers race, in which case it could come down to anyone (chelanga and cheruiyot) both have great kicks. but for people like barnicle, in order to have a chance they'll need to make sure it doesn't come down to a kick. if it goes out fast...the race will be much more interesting. I really think this race will be the best at nationals! I'd say chelanga, cheruiyot, kibet, both kosgeis, osman, uhl,and barnicle will be the top runners. they'll sort out who's who...barnicle should be the first american.

800- wright. or at least a girl from tenn.

1500- katie follett. watched her stay in complete control in her race and she looked relaxed and focused. smart racer.

3k steeple- ruth senior (new mexico) ran very well at altitude, raced minimum and will be very fresh. I'm going with her bc I think it'd be great if she pulled it off

5k- I'd say Angela has a HUGE advantage with Lisa having to run the 10k finals before the 5k finals...angela will be fresh. lisa has been running really well all year, but I think it would be great if angy B beat her. I think people have over looked the fact that angela has an amazing kick and can race anyone.

10k- obviously Koll. unless something ridiculous happens...

remember jenny B was a huge favorite during cross.

the deuce go to mitchell, hands down...

Which Mitchell? They are both running really well.

LaLarunner wrote:

but for people like barnicle, in order to have a chance they'll need to make sure it doesn't come down to a kick.

I know what you're saying, but in my opinion his only chance is IF it comes down to a kick. Because if it's fast, he has zero chance. If it's slow, he has a small chance because he could still be around with 400m to go.

Either way, no one is beating a 27:08 runner unless he has a horrible day or does something profoundly stupid.

800: Wheating over Andrews in 1:45

1500: Centrowitz in 3:37 a hair ahead of Wheating, with Emmanuel behind him

5k: Mcneil outkicks Chelanga and Bumbi, who come in a close second and third, followed by a big gap to fourth

10k: Chelanga big time

Steeple- Richard Nelson

Surprise! wrote:

LaLarunner wrote:

but for people like barnicle, in order to have a chance they'll need to make sure it doesn't come down to a kick.

I know what you're saying, but in my opinion his only chance is IF it comes down to a kick. Because if it's fast, he has zero chance. If it's slow, he has a small chance because he could still be around with 400m to go.

Either way, no one is beating a 27:08 runner unless he has a horrible day or does something profoundly stupid.

I agree. I picked Chelanga, but i'm keeping Barnicle in the back of my mind. what makes Barnicle have a chance is the injuries that Chelanga has been dealing with. if those injuries cause Chelanga to DNF, Barnicle could win it. Barnicle just needs to go out and run like he's in the lead because i doubt anyone is catching Chelanga.

Bumbalough ahead of Derrick?

Oregon wins! Blood second in the 10 and 3rd in the 5.

Forgot about Derrick, though he hasn't seemed as strong as McNeil or Chelanga so far. I'll go McNeil, Chelanga, Bumbi with the lean over Derrick because it'll be his last collegiate race and he'll really want it.

800- Wheating over Andrews.

1500- Centro followed by Emanuel then Wheating

Steeple - Bor he was second last year and is Kenyan

5k - McNeil less than a second ahead of Chelenga

10k - Chelenga , 27:08 no one can come close to that

Dont' know much about women's mid distance but I say Koll in 5k/10k

It's been constantly rainy in Oregon recently so I'll take Oregon for the team titles. Southerners seem to be really uneasy running in the rain for some reason.

seedster wrote:

Bumbalough ahead of Derrick?

If the 5K is slow and comes down to the kickers, I see Bumbalough beating Derrick. There's only a 1 second difference in their PRs. Hard to tell how fit Bumbi is since he was AWOL with mono for 2 months.

Chelanga should win easily in the 10K. It will likely be between him and McNeil in the 5K, though a slower race puts Bethke, Bumbi, Derrick, Heath, etc. in the mix. The 5K should be an awesome one.

Shampow wrote:

It's been constantly rainy in Oregon recently so I'll take Oregon for the team titles. Southerners seem to be really uneasy running in the rain for some reason.

What the hell does this mean? It rains all the time in the south during the spring and summer. The 2009 SEC champs at UF were held in drizzling rain and on a wet track, with guys running 10.03, 10.08, 20.3x, 1:47, etc etc. If it's rainy and COLD weather (which, being the PNW could happen any time of year it seems) might be the straw, not rain alone.

800-Andrews

1500-Centro

3ksteeple-Hughes

5k-McNeill

10K-Chelanga

800-Wright

1500-Browning

3ksteeple-Franek

5k-ASSELIN (all my choices are pretty standard except this one so I wanted to hilight it)

10k-Lisa "Robot" Koll

I only really know distance so..

Men:

800: Wheating, Andrews

1500: Bolas, Emmanuel

Steeple: Hughes

5K: McNeill, Derrick

10K: Chelanga, Cheruiyot

Women:

800: Wright

1500: Shelia Reid

Steeple: Franek

5k: Bizzari, Asselin

10k: Koll

They most likely meant cold rain. It remains cool and wet here in Oregon.

I am picking the Ducks to win them both !!

Wheating makes Andrews wait a year for an outdoor title. No way a duck loses this one at HOME !