(Thread title from the letsrun front page.)
I think we are. Gay's 9.69 on the heels of Bolt's 9.58 last year was an omen. "People CAN do what Bolt does". Bolt is merely leading the way.
I predict that the 10th fastest 100m performance of 2010 is sub 9.80, and that's INSANE compared to any other year.
"Are we going to see the most unbelievable year for sprinting in the history of the sport?"
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I can't wait. Should be very entertaining.
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Skuj wrote:
I predict that the 10th fastest 100m performance of 2010 is sub 9.80, and that's INSANE compared to any other year.
Another prediction, Skuj? -
No. Great sprinting is about head-to-head matchups, when they matter--i.e. at big meets like the Olympics.
Ben vs Carl was the best by far, and will be difficult to top.
They could duck each other because it was an Olympic year, but in a non-Olympic year, w/o Worlds, the best would need to meet a couple of times to make it the best ever.
Great years are about great races combined with great times, not just great times alone.
What makes this year interesting, though, is the varied distances that people are doing (other than Powell). Powell and Wariner should do some 200's, and Spearmon should work on his start and do some 100's, or maybe try a 400.
Likewise, that great 800 guy should try a 400, and Bekele should try everything from 200 up! -
Skuj wrote:
I predict that the 10th fastest 100m performance of 2010 is sub 9.80, and that's INSANE compared to any other year.
Not really insane considering the 10th fastest last year was 9.86. -
wellnow wrote:
Skuj wrote:
I predict that the 10th fastest 100m performance of 2010 is sub 9.80, and that's INSANE compared to any other year.
Another prediction, Skuj?
Yes, wellnow. (I'm 333 for Bairu, after some tools told me I was an idiot for making ANY of those predictions on him, and I may very well be 666 by year's end. I accept however, that I won't be 1000....after his surprising (and disappointing) tweet about 5000m.) -
Reality checker wrote:
Not really insane considering the 10th fastest last year was 9.86.
Wow. I completely and humbly admit to being surprised by this. You can all flame me now for this admission. -
Skuj wrote:
Yes, wellnow. (I'm 333 for Bairu, after some tools told me I was an idiot for making ANY of those predictions on him, and I may very well be 666 by year's end. I accept however, that I won't be 1000....after his surprising (and disappointing) tweet about 5000m.)
You were called an idiot not for making any of those predictions, but for saying all 3 would happen in 2010.
Skuj wrote:
Wow. I completely and humbly admit to being surprised by this. You can all flame me now for this admission.
You deserve to be flamed not for making an admission, but for not doing your homework before making another idiotic prediction. -
My opinion is apparently seconded by Tommie Smith:
"I'd love to see them race together."
Without that, it's a much more lame season. -
Skuj wrote:
I may very well be 666 by year's end.
Oh, you will!!!! -
Reality checker wrote:
You deserve to be flamed not for making an admission, but for not doing your homework before making another idiotic prediction.
I'd kill to hear about your homework, pre-SB tweet. Tell me how you knew there'd be no 5000m.
Oh shit, this is the sprint thread.
I think there will be some good matches. The $$$ will be ponied up thie year. -
Reality checker wrote: Not really insane considering the 10th fastest last year was 9.86.
Is the 9.86 performer or performance? It seems there were many times run below 9.86 last year.
Skuj wrote: Wow. I completely and humbly admit to being surprised by this. You can all flame me now for this admission. -
Bolt isn't motivated this year and Gay is getting old.
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bolt reputed 43 split at 400m early.
powell 9.75w.
Gay 19.41 straight and sub 45.
should be an awfully good year for sprinting, but with the lack of world or olympic competition, it cannot be the best ever. -
Maybe Bolt studied the Sergey Bubka method: Improve the record in small increments = maximize profit!
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Powell and Wariner should do some 200's, up!
Wariner always does 200s, every year. That is not interesting, he is not very good at them.
On the other hand, if he wanted to work on his over distance..... -
Reality checker wrote:
You deserve to be flamed not for making an admission, but for not doing your homework before making another idiotic prediction.
Skuj wrote:
I'd kill to hear about your homework, pre-SB tweet. Tell me how you knew there'd be no 5000m.
The homework reference was to your silly "most unbelievable year for sprinting" prediction (note the use of the word "another"). The data from prior years is readily available on the internet. -
Reality checker wrote:
The homework reference was to your silly "most unbelievable year for sprinting" prediction (note the use of the word "another"). The data from prior years is readily available on the internet.
Er.....it's May. Why is this prediction silly? (Holy f*** you are annoying. And I'm 333 for SB, likely 666 later, no matter how you twist it.) -
Reality checker wrote:
Not really insane considering the 10th fastest last year was 9.86.
And, if 10th was 9.86 last year, but becomes 9.79 this year, you know....0.07sec faster, that's kind of special isn't it?
You will find a way to twist this again. -
With all due respect, the ones who called you an idiot probably would have done so, with or without your prediction. The personal attacks likely have more to do with your past history, than this single prediction. That just gave them a reason, but any reason will do.
Your prediction was so bold, that few are prepared to give you partial credit. Lacing predictions with caveats, disclaimers, and conditions could make them more true, but boring. Interesting predictions requires a high probability of failure, with a slim possibility of success, just to maintain excitement. Bold predictions, per se, are not idiotic, but certainly a catalyst for lively debate.
I gathered from your more thoughtful critics, that even before the "tweet", the prevailing opinion was that he wouldn't even attempt the 5K record, because he would focus on the longer events, and therefore, wouldn't have the wheels to do it. Most of them agreed that a 10K record was likely. Bairu ran a great race, as did several others.
Skuj wrote:
Yes, wellnow. (I'm 333 for Bairu, after some tools told me I was an idiot for making ANY of those predictions on him, and I may very well be 666 by year's end. I accept however, that I won't be 1000....after his surprising (and disappointing) tweet about 5000m.)
