My Formulas to calculate the training paces (others are good too, so keep that in mind):
Aerobic Recovery Pace (after really hard races or training should be run around 60% of Max VO2 which is about 66.6% velocity of 5k pace, I figure. So, at 5:30 pace for the 5k or 330 seconds per mile, your aerobic recovery pace (ARP) would be calculated like this: 330" / .666 = 495.5" or 8:15.5 / mile.
Your Normal Distance Pace (I once called it SAP or Slow Aerobic Pace)(now I just call it NDP) can be up to 70% of max VO2. I tend to favor shooting for 67.5% of max VO2 because it occurred to me long ago that aerobic capacity can vary a little from day to day and especially during times of fatigue. So, setting your NDP at 70% could prove too fast and tiring on some days and leave you depleted for fast workouts or long runs (true keys to improving your race fitness). So, I suggest shooting for 67.5% of max VO2 as a measure of control. You caculate it like this: 5k pace = 5:30 or 330" / .75 = 440" or 7:20 / mile.
Your one hour race pace can be calculated by using my T60 (time = 60 minutes) formula: 5k pace = 5:30 or 330 seconds / .93 = 354.87" or 5:54.8 / mile.
You want a tempo pace for less than 15 minutes, so let's assume you want to do a quick but solid run that gets results but does not wipe you out. Perhaps you might go for a 15 minute run at 10k pace. 10k pace is a really good pace because it begins to develop max VO2 (especially as a runner gets down closer to 30 minutes for the 10k) and improves lactate threshold/turnpoint/stamina, shifting lactate curves to the right (towards faster velocities). So, take your 5k pace (330") and multiply it by 1.04 to get your 10k pace. (330" x 1.04 = 343.2" or 5:43.2 / mile). So, in your case you might run 4km at 10km pace. A 14 minute 5km runner might run 5km at their 10km pace to reach the 15 minute mark for the fast tempo run.
For tempo runs in the 20 to 30 minute range, I would run the same pace as the T60 that you calculated two paragraphs ago.
For 30 to 40 minute tempo runs, I would use the following formula: 5k pace (330") / .90 = 366.66" or 6:06.66 / mile. This is your approximate half-marathon race pace (HMP).
You asked about adjusting training paces as the weeks pass when you are not racing. I have a couple possibilities for you. First, you can gauge your efforts as you run the standard workouts listed above and rate them on your own scale. My AES (Aerobic Effort Scale) scale is 1 to 10. See the following:
AES
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10 = 3k race effort
9 = 5k race effort
8 = 10k race effort
7 = 15k race effort
6 = Half marathon race effort
5 = Marathon race effort
4 = No Man's Zone
3 = NDP...Normal Distance Pace
2 = ARP...Aerobic Recovery Pace
1 = Jogging
0 = shuffling along or walking at a moderate pace.
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The next method is to use heart rate as a means of determining if your body has adapted to the workload/ training paces you have been doing. It is not foolproof since glycogen depletion, dehydration, and lack of sleep may change heart rate a little. If you measure your measure your heart rate on a tempo run and it drops at the same pace, then it is possible that your body has adapted. Since more permanent adaptations take in the neighborhood of 3 to 4 weeks, you can expect that if your training has been within the ZOA (zone of adaptation) (not too hard, not to much; just right, within 5% plus or minus), then your pace at the same heart rate might be about 3-6 seconds faster per mile. I generally figure 1-2 seconds per mile per week is normal when you are training correctly. So, if your heart was 170 beats per minute in the latter half of your tempo run when you started training at a given pace (let's say 5:54 pace) and now at the same pace you find that your heart rate is just 165, then you probably can guess that your body is in better shape.