Shalane Flanagan will run a track 10000m, predict her time

I think 30:50 or thereabouts. She has shown a phenomenal maturity in training and racing recently. I'm just a bit afraid that she'll start out too hard.

30:45

She seems very confident and comfortable with herself. She also looks fit and healthy and not as emaciated as she did at times last year. and if she prioritizes something, she seems to get it lately. So I figure she gets her American record, I'll say 30:43.

No.

Would love to see her take down the AR. Shalane is the future of American middle distance running. Everyone else can take a back seat. Especially those who are abdicating the 10k for the marathon. Young legs and ferocious aspirations spell trouble for everyone else.

30:30 if she makes it that far without getting caught on the JUICE, DNF if there will be drug testing.

Even half hour.

Really? 30:00? Are you just being kind or do you really think that? That's quite a leap.

30:20.

She's looking stronger than she was when she ran her AR 5k, plus she knows how to push herself when she's running solo.

this is an "easy" one

she has such beautifully consistent times, it's a pleasure to work with such numbers !!!

using this :

http://www.jundo.co.uk/index.php

( apparently down for maintenance : bookmark & try later in week )

& usatf bio :

http://www.usatf.org/athletes/bios/Flanagan_Shalane.asp

gives her 1.5 - 5k pbs all set last year as :

4'05.86, 8'33.25i ( probably worth a coupla seconds quicker outdoors ) & 14'44.80

trying various combos of these for her potential 10k time last year :

4'05.86 / 8'33.25 -> 30'35.5

4'05.86 / 14'44.80 -> 30'44.75

8'33.25 / 14'44.80 -> 30'49.4

too wide a range here because 3k is an indoor time & the 5k looks a little weak

after a coupla minutes trying out different times, her best line of fit with most fundamental of times : 400m & 800m suggests last year she was in :

~ 1'00.0 / 2'05.6 shape which ->

~ 4'05.1 , 8'31.1 , 14'37.6 , 30'25.1

this is last year's news, but i'm confident that 30'25 was her limit then off her 15.k - 5k training

if she has a very, very accurate idea of her current 400 & 800m ability ( to within 0.1s auto ), we'd have a very good idea of her 1.5 - 10k potential this year

Camoo wrote:

Really? 30:00? Are you just being kind or do you really think that? That's quite a leap.

Kind and hopeful.

Tom

30:24.53

I hear it will be the Payton Jordan, and not the Stanford Invitational. Interesting, if true, since the Payton Jordan has dropped off in terms of talent since Vin left.

Yeah... but that is also several extra weeks of training. Besides, who is going to stay with her anyway? She should try to enter a male race.

hey wrote:

Yeah... but that is also several extra weeks of training. Besides, who is going to stay with her anyway? She should try to enter a male race.

well at payton jordan a few years ago werknesh kidane came and ran a 3019 by herself, there were 2 other girls in the race 1 dropped out after 3 laps and the other girl ran about 33 minutes. if the ethiopians use stanford to get their qualifiers and they have sometimes in the past. among the ethiopian girls who might run as they have not got the olympic qualifier yet, meselesh melkamu and meseret defar have said they have thought about running their debut track 10k this year to possibly double in the olympics, tirunesh dibaba needs a qualifier timewise, werknesh kidane has to get a qualifier as she has not raced the last 2 years as she had 2 babies. if the ethiopians use parton jordan as their defacto trials, throw in k. goucher and flanagan, it could be a fun race.

Huh?? I think you are in agreement with me... but your grammar sucks. I'm drunk and I'm not even certain what you said. If the Ethiopians do use this as a qualifier then it definitely helps Shalane... and she is sexy.

It's going to be her and Tegenkamp in a steel cage match 10K !!

Yeah, Shalane actually did say she thought she could break the American record "if I get help." Ethiopians would qualify as "help."

first race =31:47.