My Alan Webb predictions for this season

I think he'll get the gold this year...heard it hear first.(I hate when people say that!)

'here'

I don't think Alan will run those times.

His best shot is silver behind Komen. Which sucks for someone who can run 3:45.

800- 1:43.5

1000- 2:14.5

1500- 3:28.8

Mile- 3:46.5

3000- 7:32

5000- 12:58

I think he's good for 3:30 in the finals, but Komen will set an olympic record of 3:29. The race will go out medium-slow, and get extremely quick with Webb making his patented stupid move, and Komen closing even quicker.

my crystal ball says so.

Are people here referring to daniel kipchichir komen, who I don't (correct me if I'm wrong) think has made a final yet at a major championships? the times are possible, and hopefully webb is in the mix in the finishing straight at beijing more than anything, but I really think it is ramzi, kiprop, and lagat that are probably the big names for medals, not komen who has yet to show he can do anything when the pace isn't fast and steady from the gun.

Komen? He makes Webb look like a brilliant racer in Championships.

help I so nerdy wrote:

800 - 1:42.8

1500 - 3:28.8

Mile - 3:46.91

5000 - 12:55.5

Olympic bronze behind Lagat and Komen.

heres my webb predictions for this year ...

400- 44.8

800- 145.2x

1500- 3:23.7 (wr)

mile- 3:40.1 (wr)

5000- doesnt run

3:23???? come on is good but ....

I'm hoping we see less super-fast performances early in the year for Webb. I'd rather see him rounding into peak form in August and surprising some people in Bejing.

My Olympic final prediction:

1. Ramzi

2. Kiprop

3. Webb

4. Lagat

5. Komen

komen? lolololololol wrote:

Komen? He makes Webb look like a brilliant racer in Championships.

You've got that right. Webb's got a good shot at a medal. Komen will probably blow up and not make the Oly final. If he does, he won't win. Bet the house on it.

1:42 for an 800, no way, that's flying! He needs to work on his finishing kick!

Handicapping the Olympic 1500 is a total crapshoot right now. I would put the odds at something like this:

Kiprop 2-1

Webb 5-2

Lagat 5-2

Ramzi 5-2

Baala 3-1

Field 3-1

I don't think Webb will run any miles this year. He's met his mile goal and has no reason to run the distance again until/unless he goes for the WR. If he ever attempts that, it certainly won't be in an Olympic year.

Given his late start he may have an AR 5000 in him in September.

I'll go with . . .

800: 1:44

1500: 3:29

5000: 12:57

Very good chance to medal. Could run very well and not get a medal again, too.

5000m - new american record

olympics - first american, medal

Lagat will win at least one of his races. No one is as smart a racer as he is in a championship final.

I predict that if Webb runs well late indoor and has a monster kick all Spring, like last year, then he will fade badly in the final 200 in the Oly final, as he did in the Worlds. If Raczko trains Webb correctly to peak for the real race that matters in a given year, and they both work to get his mind right, then he can medal. Webb will not beat Lagat though. Lagat showed last year that, as Webb was flying past him all Spring with that kick we all thought was the real Alan Webb we all were waiting to emerge, and winning big races like Paris, Lagat himself was just training away through all those races in preparation for his double at US Nats and Worlds. If Lagat stays healthy and decides to try to match EL G, he will double again.

It seems obvious that Webb is going to repeat his training cycle from last year, but start it a month or two later. He proved that he can reach fitness levels higher than anyone else in the world. He ran a fine race at Worlds; he was just past his peak. If he's peaking in Beijing, it's his race to lose. Lagat is a tough and savvy competitor, but he's not a 3:46 miler these days.

800- 1:43.74

1500- 3:29.88

mile- 3:47.23

if he runs these:

5k- 13:06.36

10k- 27:24.94

olympics: 4th place with a solid effort but the kick just isn't there

year: 3rd fastest mile in the world by year's end

future: our's to see

i think he will actually run slower than he did last year in every distance for a few reasons.

1. webb was kind of chasing times last year, an example being the ar in the mile. he proved that he can run really fast which is great, but did it a little early in relation to the wc.

2. i bet he will race less than last year and hold his cards a little closer to the vest before beijing. racing less equals fewer opportunities to run fast. before osaka he was one of the favorites because he had run 346 and 143 very recently. i think racing less will take a bit of pressure off of him.

3. webb could possibly seek out non-rabbited races before beijing. some of the european meets might follow zurich's lead and eliminate rabbits from competition. even if a few of the smaller meets do it, you can bet that webb will be at that meet, brushing up on his tactical skills.

800 dude wrote:

If he's peaking in Beijing, it's his race to lose.

I dunno, Webb has never demonstrated the ability to run a good tactical race, at least not that I'm aware of.

One of the downsides to going pro so early is he's spent all his racing experience hanging on behind fast pace setters and then trying to kick hard. Had he stayed in the NCAA system for a few more years, he'd have that championship background. Especially the part about saving himself through the rounds.

help I so nerdy wrote:

800 - 1:42.8

1500 - 3:28.8

Mile - 3:46.91

5000 - 12:55.5

Olympic bronze behind Lagat and Komen.

If he could run 142.8 this year he would be running the 800 and not hte 1500 at the olympics. With his strenght, he'd easily be able to crush everyone after going through rounds in the 800 with that kind of speed and endurance.