what is wrong with you peoplE? wrote:
but what could be going through these guys minds with less of a kick when they run through the first mile over 5:00 at then dont speed up? What kind of coaching did they have?
It is shameful for someone (especially an at'large bid) to go run so slowly (realitively) at the ncaa championship.
This argument really oversimplifies the situation. You make it sound like a lower seed could take the lead and drop enough people that a kick would be irrelevant. That's often just as unlikely as a weak kicker making it in at 14:30 pace.
Say one of the lower seeds in that first heat decides to take it over after a slow first 800. Say he runs 67s. Who do you think he's going to drop? Nobody. Maybe one guy who's sick or past his peak. (In the faster heat, 12 of 13 were still there with a lap to go.) So, a lower seed can lead the whole race at PR pace (tough enough to do) and still find himself needing to outkick a couple guys to get in. And having led for 2+ miles at PR pace will do wonders for whatever kick he has. And the other heat still has a chance to take time qualifiers.
And one thing he knows WON'T happen after he starts running 67s is somebody else taking it over. He'll lead it until he slows or until the last kilometer.
Of course, sometimes it can be sound strategy for a lower seed to take the pace. But it's hardly stupid not to. Often, it's the best choice--take your chances that somebody else will take the pace, or just take your chances with your weak kick, or try to push the pace 1000m out. None are very good options--it's tough being a low seed.
I agree that qualifying in distance races should emphasize place, with few or no time qualifiers. Time qualifiers don't "keep people honest" (if they did, we wouldn't be having this conversation--both 5K heats would have been under 14:00). Furthermore, the vast majority of time qualifiers benefit from some other poor sap who did the work. They just got lucky to be in the faster heat. Better if everyone knows exactly what place they need to advance.