not normally so conspiratorial wrote:
but has anyone thought about the timing of Bekele's recent vulnerability? Granted the man is incredibly talented naturally, but his world records and overall performance in previous seasons was nothing short of unheard of. After his young runner fiancee died in training it seems like he has been much more mortal. .
I don't think that the facts support your speculation. Bekele hasn't shown recent vulnerability. His record shows that he rarely loses, and if he does, it's not by much, and only loses to incredible athletes.
This year he lost to Lagat(a 3:26 man) twice and Songok once.
Last year he only lost twice, to Geneti and Cragg, indoors and immediatly after his fiance's death. That would be understandable.
In 2004 he only lost once, to El Guerrouj.
In 2003 he lost 3 times, once to El Guerrouj, once to Chebii , and once to Kipchoge.
Throw out the Geneti and Cragg losses for obvious reasons. Bekele has only lost to Lagat, El Guerrouj, Chebii, Kipchoge and Songok. That isn't vulnerablity, that's incredible!
2006 3 losses (Songok, twice to Lagat)
1500 m
3:33.08 1r2 DNG Stockholm 25 Jul
One Mile
4:01.57i 2 Millrose New York NY 3 Feb
3000 m
7:54.85i 1h2 WC Moskva 10 Mar
7:39.32i 1 WC Moskva 12 Mar
Two Miles
8:05.12i 1 Norw Union Birmingham 18 Feb
5000 m
12:58.22 2 Bislett Oslo 2 Jun
12:51.32 1 Gaz Saint-Denis 8 Jul
12:51.44 1 GGala Roma 14 Jul
13:00.04 2 Norw Union London 28 Jul
2005 (2 losses Geneti, Cragg)
3000 m
7:41.42i 2 BIG Boston MA 29 Jan
7:34.57 1 Athletissima Lausanne 5 Jul
7:32.59 1 WK Zürich 19 Aug
7:36.36 1 Golden GP Shanghai 17 Sep
Two Miles
8:15.49i 2 Norw Union Birmingham 18 Feb
5000 m
12:40.18 1 Gaz Saint-Denis 1 Jul
12:55.55 1 Norw Union London 22 Jul
10000 m
26:28.72 1 FBKG Hengelo 29 May
27:08.33 1 WC Helsinki 8 Aug
26:17.53 1 VD Bruxelles 26 Aug
2004 (1 loss to El Guerrouj)
2000 m
5:05.69+ 1 Norw Union Gateshead 27 Jun
3000 m
7:30.77i 1 Sparkassen Stuttgart 31 Jan
7:47.27+I 1 Norw Union Birmingham 20 Feb
7:41.31 1 Norw Union Gateshead 27 Jun
5000 m
12:49.60i WR 1 Norw Union Birmingham 20 Feb
13:34.1hA 1 NC Addis Ababa 8 May
12:37.35 WR 1 FBKG Hengelo 31 May
13:21.16 1h1 OG Athína 25 Aug
13:14.59 2 OG Athína 28 Aug
10000 m
26:20.31 WR 1 GSpike Ostrava 8 Jun
27:05.10 1 OG Athína 20 Aug
2003 (3 losses Chebii, Kipchoge, El Guerrouj)
3000 m
7:36.98 1 WAF Monaco 13 Sep
5000 m
13:47.3hA 2 NC Addis Ababa 10 May
12:52.26 1 Bislett Oslo 27 Jun
13:06.05 1 Athletissima Lausanne 1 Jul
12:57.34 2 GGala Roma 11 Jul
13:38.03 1h1 WC Saint-Denis 28 Aug
12:53.12 3 WC Saint-Denis 31 Aug
13:26.16 1 AAG Abuja 15 Oct
10000 m
26:53.70 1 FBKG Hengelo 1 Jun
26:49.57 1 WC Saint-Denis 24 Aug