I changed the thread title since Ethan Shuley just ran 2:07:13 in Osaka.
This has gotta be one of the most out-of-nowhere results in the history of US marathoning. I thought Matthew Richtman running 2:07:57 in LA last year was wild (and it still doesn't make sense to me given the low volume he was running) but Richtman was at least 26th at NCAA XC.
Here is Shuley's progression, best I can tell. He's 27 years old:
2014-15: Two-time Kentucky 2A state champ in XC.
2016: Graduates HS with track pbs of 4:14/9:10 (full mile/2-mile). Those are both from his junior year (no results as a HS senior) -- those are pretty strong marks for a HS junior in 2015.
2016-20: Goes to BYU but barely races. Only mark is 8:45 for 3000 in January 2020 -- or 10+ seconds slower than Jane Hedengren. That's at altitude in Provo on a shitty track, but still not very impressive.
2021-24: Only one result during this span: 8:42 for 3k on the JDL Fast Track (flat track)
2025: Surfaces in Japan, runs 2:18 at Nagano Marathon in April. Runs 63:06 half in October, then 2:11 at Kobe Marathon in December.
2026: Runs 61:02 half in Osaka on January 25. Now four weeks later runs 2:07!
So he barely raced at all for almost a decade -- two races from 2016-24. Now 2:18 to 2:11 to 2:07 in the span of 11 months.
Isaac Wood just told me he coaches him. I'm going to call him and get the scoop.