Honestly solid. All these teams are returning at least 4 and all these teams are probably going to be top 10 or close in the merge despite not the best races from campo, Vacaville, and mt view.
Honestly solid. All these teams are returning at least 4 and all these teams are probably going to be top 10 or close in the merge despite not the best races from campo, Vacaville, and mt view.
Woodbridge just got 5th in the merge and they're returning 5 of their top 7, plus Antonio will be faster. There's a good chance they can match this year's team, and maybe even be faster. They have many solid underclassmen.
Look for san clemente, woodbridge, redondo union, wild card will be JSerra, they have erupted on the scene with serious runners. One of their girls cross country runners has been running track since the first grade. I'm sure they will have a solid team at the start of the new year.
Look for san clemente, woodbridge, redondo union, wild card will be JSerra, they have erupted on the scene with serious runners. One of their girls cross country runners has been running track since the first grade. I'm sure they will have a solid team at the start of the new year.
JSerra girls team will be in contention again.
The boys team won’t be a factor (unless they bring in 4-6 really good transfers). They only return one varsity runner and one JV freshman
But I’ll give my two sense for a bit: I don’t think Jesuit will be the top team coming into next season despite returning Bilodeau, Alberts, Ogilvie, and Tait (you can throw in Rafa Jopson and John Kelly in there but they do need a 7th), or if they are the top team, they’d barely make it. Firstly, less people are enrolling their kids into private schools and Jesuit has taken a huge a hit from that (that explains their move down from their usual home in DI to DII). Lastly, Jesuit is going co-ed as of next school year and the people in the area are very much frustrated over this controversial decision (which will only further decrease enrollment for Jesuit). It may not sound like the biggest deal but in the long-term success of the team, it won’t prove very helpful.
But I’ll give my two sense for a bit: I don’t think Jesuit will be the top team coming into next season despite returning Bilodeau, Alberts, Ogilvie, and Tait (you can throw in Rafa Jopson and John Kelly in there but they do need a 7th), or if they are the top team, they’d barely make it. Firstly, less people are enrolling their kids into private schools and Jesuit has taken a huge a hit from that (that explains their move down from their usual home in DI to DII). Lastly, Jesuit is going co-ed as of next school year and the people in the area are very much frustrated over this controversial decision (which will only further decrease enrollment for Jesuit). It may not sound like the biggest deal but in the long-term success of the team, it won’t prove very helpful.
Actually, Jesuit CA won’t become co-ed until Fall 2027. Bilodeau, Alberts, Ogilvie, Tait, and Jopson will be in college at that time. This also makes me wonder if Lange will retire after class of 2027 graduates. https://amp.sacbee.com/news/local/education/article312394865.html
Top 10 based on returners 5k season best this year:
1. Jesuit
2. Woodbridge
3. San Clemente
4. Redondo Union
5. Mira Costa
6. Campolindo
7. Matilda Torres
8. Beckman
9. Vacaville
10. Hart
Sorry, wasn't right. Was including seniors. This is what should have been posted:
1. San Clemente
2. Campolindo
3. Jesuit
4. Beckman
5. University (SF)
6. Woodbridge
7. Mountain View
8.West Torrance
9. Vacaville
10. St. John Bosco
Good list. Thanks, saves me from doing that. I have been tracking best SRs through the year, and in some cases beyond what might be available. For instance, if an event was speed rated, by the particular race wasn't, I use the same scale used on the other races to get the SR. But I only did that for the major races -Woodbridge, Clovis, Mt Sac..
Two teams that historically seem to do better than expected most years, and already have a solid returning 5 that aren't mentioned above:
Trabuco Hills Dresden Taylor 175.5 Lucan Clemons 174.6 Sebastian Palafox 170.5 Logan Jones 165.4 Ron Banchik 163.1
Crescenta Valley Isaac Johnson 178.5 Enzo Dik 176.5 Owen Burton 170.2 Izaac Rodriguez 165.0 Kanoa Moreno 154.4
There's a few more, but I am still working on the list. It can be hard to find 5 non-seniors with speed rating data.
That said, it is too early to think that much about next XC. Track season will change the outlook a lot, and what I am really doing is setting up my data for track season, not trying to predict next year.
Can Ayala boys team qualify for state? They were 2 spots away this year and return their entire team. They have 3 sophomores and 2 freshmen in their top 7