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The fastest time on a record-eligible course by a man not of recent African ancestry or PED allegations is 2:04:56. That seems very doable. 2:05:38 seems like a done deal for me.
Any change he runs 2:03 high?
PS. We spent a lot of time talking about this on this week's Track Talk Podcast. Subscibe today:
Lol. No dice.
No.
rojo wrote:
The fastest time on a record-eligible course by a man not of recent African ancestry or PED allegations is 2:04:56. That seems very doable. 2:05:38 seems like a done deal for me.
Any change he runs 2:03 high?
PS. We spent a lot of time talking about this on this week's Track Talk Podcast. Subscibe today:
Yes, there’s a chance if he goes through halfway right at 1:02:00 and is having a great day and the weather cooperates.
But, I tend to think he’ll fade to somewhere between, let’s say, 2:04:27 and 2:04:57. The AR is the primary goal. No need to run 2:03 unless he’s just totally on and trying to get the win.
rojo wrote:
The fastest time on a record-eligible course by a man not of recent African ancestry or PED allegations is 2:04:56. That seems very doable. 2:05:38 seems like a done deal for me.
Any change he runs 2:03 high?
PS. We spent a lot of time talking about this on this week's Track Talk Podcast. Subscibe today:
Every year people make predictions for him and they are always way too fast. I could see him running maybe a 2:09 low.
2:05:15 is most likely if the weather cooperates.
I literally think his ceiling is 2:06 flat. I don't think he will be a challenge at the front, where the winner will just crack 2:04. Galen Rupp will be about 2:08 flat.
Banana Bread wrote:
I literally think his ceiling is 2:06 flat. I don't think he will be a challenge at the front, where the winner will just crack 2:04. Galen Rupp will be about 2:08 flat.
He’s already run 2:05:08 this year at Boston, a mere 23 seconds back of the winner who ran 2:02 at Chicago just last year. There was a slight headwind at Boston and the late hills make it a fair test. Mantz is a 2:05 guy looking to become a 2:04 guy.
Maybe when wave 2.0 of ultimate bounce shoes comes out in a few years. That's his only chance.
Yes, I think he’s within 3 and a half minutes of the best in the world. It’s doable.
Still hate the site’s obsession with the US national marathon record.
Please break down the actual race instead of this crap.
He's going to soak that record!!
He would do well to break the USR, and would do great to run sub 2:05. Because of the shoe tech we have now I wouldn't be surprised by a 2:04 high.
There's a reason why Boston doesn't count and 2:04:58 isn't the record.
Old Shoe wrote:
There's a reason why Boston doesn't count and 2:04:58 isn't the record.
Isn't his PR 2:07:47?
2:06 low in Boston for Hall
Sorry, meant London. 2:06:17 or something.
sooner of later the track talent in the usa has to translate into the marathon.
that means a 203.
i would bet 204 high with favorable odds
no rupp is going to spank him instead