Two years ago, I wrote a column about how from September 7, 1987-July 19, 2022, Africa born men totally dominated the men's distance events on the track at Worlds. They went 64-0 in the 1500, steeple, 5000 and 10,000 and swept all 4 golds at 15 straight world champs.
That African born win streak was snapped by Jake Wightman at the 2022 Eugene Worlds on July 19, 2022 (Ingebrigtsen would also win the 5k). Since then, the non-African born runners have been on a roll, as they've won 10 of 14 including all 4 track distance golds this year.
2022 - Jakob and Wightman win last 2 golds (El Bakkali and Cheptegei won 1st 2)
2023- Jakob and Kerr 2/4
2024 - Hocker and Jakob 2/4
2025 - Nade, Hocker, Gressier, Beamish. 4/4
PS. Here is the 2023 column.
PPS. Udpate on 9/27: On page 3, I came up some theories. Here they are:
I can think of a lot of reasons. Some combo of:
1) More altitude training. Most Western athletes used to spend little time at altitude (Bob Kennedy is a perfect example). If you are an altitude responder, altitude is like legalized doping.
2) More drug testing. Cutting out the obvious cheats who we all knew were doping is just the tip of the iceberg. As some have pointed out, it's quite possible Western athletes would be more sophisticated in their doping and better able to get away with it.
3) Super shoes. I'm open to the idea that they help Westen athletes more and give them the biomechanical efficiency to train more often at faster speeds - maybe faster speeds that African athletes are naturally able to train at.
4) Double threshold/coaching. The Africans were on top for so long they are less likely to think they need to try new things.
5) Finances - The marathon is much more lucrative, so we certainly are losing some talent there. I mean do we think Gressier win the 10k if Cheptegei had stayed in the 10k? The world's #2 marathoner this year is Ethiopia's Tadese Takele. The Tokyo winner (2:03:23) ran 8:09 in the steeple in in 2021 when was 18 and won world junior silver. Kiplimo is only officially 24.
