2nd Kenyan gets popped for same drug as Ruth Chepngetich - Hydrochlorothiazide. Does this raise or lower odds Ruth was dirty?

Well if one of Shelby’s teammates had been popped for Nandrolone around the same time, do you think it would make it more or less likely that Shelby was doping? The answer seems apparent at first glance anyway.

I think the odds are still exactly the same. I work in a pharmacy, and HCTZ exists literally specifically for its use as a diuretic. It just doesn’t end up in your system for no reason and with no prescription it is almost certainly just used for masking

The odds are the same as before, at 100%.

What is Kenya up to now on bans? 400 and what? When is this cesspool getting banned? They have no respect for the sport and have stolen from clean athletes relentlessly.
Give them a ten year ban to learn some manners.

Odds? LOL

The odds Ruth was dirty before this was 100 percent.

So you're asking if the masking agent showed up in Ruth's system in an amount 200x the legal limit by accident? Right after the most suspect performance of all time, while her country has an unprecedented doping problem? Because someone else from that country got caught doing the same thing?

You know the answer to this.

I think Rojo was slightly traumatized by the whole Kenyan Parliament thing. Even now that Ruth has been busted (and himself vindicated), he's trying to show that he's completely fair-minded by speculating that yet another Kenyan bust might indicate she was actually clean!

Kenyans were getting popped for Norandrosterone. Suddenly it's Hydrochlorothiazide.

So I went to Google with the logical question: "Does Hydrochlorothiazide mask Norandrosterone?"

This was the generated response:

"Yes, hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ) can mask the presence of norandrosterone, a metabolite of nandrolone, in doping tests according to ScienceDirect.com. Diuretics like HCTZ are often used by athletes to try and dilute urine samples, making it harder to detect banned substances like anabolic steroids. Hydrochlorothiazide is on the World Anti-Doping Agency's (WADA) prohibited list because of its masking effect."

Come on. The Russians were all clean too since there were multiple positive tests.

P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B). Since both the numerator and denominator on the RHS are equal to one, the LHS is as well. There is your answer.

if a woman gets popped does that mean a suppository was inserted without them knowing, causing explosive diarrhea?

Huh. But the Shelburrito supporters keep claiming that it makes no sense to dope with nandrolone! Therefore she must be clean...

But now it seems that nandrolone is still among the PEDs of choice. Huh.

They’re not even passing the baton anymore—just the prescription.

The odds are the same, as others have noted. 100%

However, I think this increases the odds that there is a drug cocktail in play, and when they put it together they blew it on the half-life of one of the drugs. The whole things is organized and administered. The athletes are not acting alone. They are not figuring out which drug and when and how much.

Most of the success in terms of medals won by East Africans has arisen from an artificial situation so to speak. It’s just that now the extent of their lying and cheating is finally, albeit slowly, being realized.