Past times won't matter on the starting line for the Paris final. And Paris will be nowhere near a civil as Monaco. The best man on the day will win. Having said that Jakob looked pretty impressive. But so did Kerr in their last race together.
Check the record of Jakob in global finals 1500s. 1st Olympics 2021, 2nd in 2 WCs to 2 different athletes. He is not a lock to win in Paris because he seems to be a better time trial racer than a rounds racer. Heck of a racer, but not a lock. No one is.
It was 3:27 vs 29 last year too, but it didn't matter. Just like Gebrhiwet 12:36 and Aregawi's 12:40, they're just meaningless numbers. Controlled time trials are not championship races full of twists.
It was 3:27 vs 29 last year too, but it didn't matter. Just like Gebrhiwet 12:36 and Aregawi's 12:40, they're just meaningless numbers. Controlled time trials are not championship races full of twists.
Idk why all the posts saying that nobody is a lock are getting downvoted. Almost never do runners run exactly their seed. Otherwise Jakob would have 3 golds by now.
Check the record of Jakob in global finals 1500s. 1st Olympics 2021, 2nd in 2 WCs to 2 different athletes. He is not a lock to win in Paris because he seems to be a better time trial racer than a rounds racer. Heck of a racer, but not a lock. No one is.
Which of his competitors have better records in global finals?
He is not a lock, but he has a much better record than any 1500m runner competing in this era including Kerr
I'd say with his training style (high mileage, lots of LT) coupled with the fact he can still run 3:26.73 in the 1500, makes him more of a lock for the 5000. Who in the hell is going to beat him in a championship-style 5000??
Kerr got tied up with Giles, a 1:43 guy with a 1:44 season’s best, in the last 50 meters of the 800m championship. If Kerr is able to PR in the 800 right now, and pull off a 1:43-44low, the 1500 is still his. He is probably equal to Jakob over 3k, and would probably dust him in an 800. Those are not your gold/silver battles though. I have a feeling that one of them may miss the podium; that depth up front is something fierce.
Kerr got tied up with Giles, a 1:43 guy with a 1:44 season’s best, in the last 50 meters of the 800m championship. If Kerr is able to PR in the 800 right now, and pull off a 1:43-44low, the 1500 is still his. He is probably equal to Jakob over 3k, and would probably dust him in an 800. Those are not your gold/silver battles though. I have a feeling that one of them may miss the podium; that depth up front is something fierce.
Kerr might have a slight edge at 800m, but he is way behind Jakob at 3k (6+ seconds). If Jakob reaches the Olympic final in the shape he was in today, no one is good enough to beat him.
It was 3:27 vs 29 last year too, but it didn't matter. Just like Gebrhiwet 12:36 and Aregawi's 12:40, they're just meaningless numbers. Controlled time trials are not championship races full of twists.
Idk why all the posts saying that nobody is a lock are getting downvoted. Almost never do runners run exactly their seed. Otherwise Jakob would have 3 golds by now.
the mistake people here are making is that they think 3:29 represents the best Kerr can do, when in reality he can at least run high-3:27 in Monaco's conditions. Anyone who closes a low 3:29 in 52 secs ought to be able to run much faster and apparently he's leveled up this year. There maximum abilities are a lot closer than people may think.
If Jakob still opts for that frontrunning style or per his own words, being the pacemaker himself in Paris, that would give Kerr the edge and I wouldn't be surprised to see a re-run of Budapest.
Kerr got tied up with Giles, a 1:43 guy with a 1:44 season’s best, in the last 50 meters of the 800m championship. If Kerr is able to PR in the 800 right now, and pull off a 1:43-44low, the 1500 is still his. He is probably equal to Jakob over 3k, and would probably dust him in an 800. Those are not your gold/silver battles though. I have a feeling that one of them may miss the podium; that depth up front is something fierce.
Kerr might have a slight edge at 800m, but he is way behind Jakob at 3k (6+ seconds). If Jakob reaches the Olympic final in the shape he was in today, no one is good enough to beat him.
He knocked a few tenths off his PB. I completely concur that Jakob is a phenomenal runner but he is in 2023 give or take a fraction of a percentage.
Kerr beat him then and almost nobody would believe Kerr isn't better now than he was last year after his performances after the Hungary 15.
Who is going to win? I don't know. I'm marginally less sure Kerr is the favourite in a championship race now than I was pre-Monaco but not by much.