That's a close one, it really comes down to the strengths of the runner. If they are more endurance they'll likely go 35:xx first, if they are more speed they will get the sub 5 first. In my case, I got sub 35 before going sub 5
For males under age 15 with sub-57.5 440 speed, not much training will be required to race sub-5 one mile.
I am sure middle school teenage Alberto Salazar and middle school teenage Bill Rodgers had to train harder to race sub-35 10K than middle school teenage Steve Ovett and middle school teenage Steve Cram had to train to race sub-5 one mile.
Sub 5 mile I’d say. As others have alluded to, young athletic people can run good mile times with minimal endurance training. In HS, I played hockey in the winter and could run ~4:50 ant the beginning of outdoor track season having not run at all for 4 months. I didn’t run under 36 in the 10k until college when I was running full-time.
if you're a teenager/ very young adult, probably sub-5 because as the distance goes on, you just slowly collapse if you are under-developed.
I am atypical ...Male, 30M, 32:40 10km road and best mile is 4:50...strength above speed. No running in highschool and college. Dream is to break 32-min = )
Even when I’ve been in really good aerobic shape I’d rather run 3 sub 5:00 mile repeats than a 35:xx 10k tempo. I’m pretty speed oriented though, anything where my finish time will be in the double digits isn’t super fun for me.
I think if you grabbed most highschoolers who are running 4:50-5:00 most wouldn’t break 36 in a 10k, many probably wouldn’t even break 18:00 in a 5k with the average being around 17:30-17:45.