Way too early US Olympic Team Projections

I like the Blanks prediction. Who do you think will be the marathoners?

Mantz, Young, and Panning

Saina, Bates, Seidel

Rupp Panning Mantz

Saina Sisson Seidel

Will Boling make the team?

This thread is being bookmarked so we can all have a good laugh in June.

See ya in six months!

Mantz, Young, Albertson (Listening to CJ on the Citius podcast, he really made a good case for himself. He can run 2:10-2:11's in his sleep and it likely won't be much faster than this if conditions are hot and a championship style race. He is doing a lot of indoor runs with heat lamps and a humidifier, etc.)

Sisson, Seidel, Bates (if Bates isn't out too long with this injury..if she can't bounce back, probably Saina unless D'Amato is in top form)

If conditions aren't ridiculous, I think it's going to take a time faster than CJ has previously run to make the team. I think moves will be made and the pace will be pushed to an extent that the race will yield decent times.

Stopped reading when you put Tuohy on the womens 5k team LOL nice troll thread

While I think there is a good chance the 2:08 guys all try and keep the pace fast to try and make it a 4-5 person race in the last 10 miles. The guys who make the team will also have to be prepared to switch from a 2:12 pace through 20 miles and start dropping 10-15 seconds per mile an not blow up. Either race type really does favor the faster and stronger runners, but anyone can have an off day.

From CJ's Citius interview, he seems to think there are about ten guys (he may have said more) that are capable of a 2:08 "effort" at the trials (himself included).

Just looking at the results (and splits) from Chicago 2023, twelve Americans went through half in somewhere near 2:09 low pace, and that did not include guys like Scott Fauble, CJ Albertson, Zach Panning, Elkaneh Kibet, Futsum Z., Nico Montanez, and Paul Chelimo (other guys who would likely go with a sub 2:09:00 pace).

It could be a very interesting day with little room for error for even the guys with the best resumes.

In the 800. Wait for it.

I think Hobbs Kessler's stock is higher than Teare. Grace is 35 years old, no way she's making a 1500m team. She ran well at age 32 but too old now to overcome a return.

Blanks may very well make the team, but if he does it means we don't have a super strong team. I just don't see him running 12:55 like we had a few guys doing last year.

I don't know how you can predict Tuohy making the team, 'only' a 15:04 PR and hasn't been improving the past several months, her stock is down since she ran the 15:04. And a 15:04 isn't going to make the team anyway.

In 10k I think Sisson will be losing the track speed after spending significant time now in the marathon world, not to mention more fast people on the track anyway.

Marathon Mantz/Rupp/Young in that order. And Sisson, Saina, D'Amato in that order.

UPDATE: Teshome Mekonen, 28 year old who is now American. 'Only' ran 2:10:16 at Berlin, but went out in 62:24 (American Record Pace)... At the trials he won't go out in some insane pace and will undoubtedly be in the front until the end.

Elle St. Pierre will be back for the 1500 team imo

100: Lyles, Coleman, Kerley

200: Lyles, Knighton, Bednaryk

her chances are just as good as anyone not named Cranny or Monson

It’s December and no meets for a month. Made a few hot takes, a few other posters are making some too. It’s just for fun!

Medal prediction for the 1500, 5000, 10000: 0 gold, 0 silver, 0 bronze

You think her chances of running the 14:52 standard are just as good as the others?

Maybe in the 4x400 relay pool.