He ran this year:
Boston: 2:12:22
Sierre-Zinal: 02:51:48
Berlin Marathon: 2:08:48
Cologne Marathon: 2:37:00 (pacing his girlfriend one week later)
Half Marathon Luzern: 1:05:14 (last week)
Last year in New York he started from the non-elite block and finished 2:22:31 one week after he ran the Frankfurt Marathon in 2:11:28.
This time he can start from the elite block. What do you predict?