I think the correct answer is to figure out how to run an effective experiment on yourself. Run a time trial at weight A. Run a time trial at weight B. Run another time trial at weight A.
try to make weight your only different variable to the extent possible.
try to also have the same nutrition the 24 hours leading up to your time trial. (I.e. eat as calorie-rich the night before, and the morning of, no matter whether you are at your lower weight or your meatier weight.)
you want to have confidence that you’re not making important decisions based only on ideology or guessing.
i suspect the correct weight can’t be known in advance. While the best runners are often absurdly skinny, we do not always see the carnage along the way (the people who tried to get the best out of themselves by going three pounds lower, and their body was full of fatigue and malnourishment).
if someone can jump in who has a mind for designing effective experiments, I’m sure we could improve on the idea. It’s not my strong suit.
i do think that if you go too calorie dilute for a man, his sex hormones start to resemble that of a female. (Ryan hall says his testosterone was absurdly low at the end of his career), which is probably not advantageous for performance. If a woman goes too calorie dilute, her sex hormones start to resemble that of a child. (Also not advantageous.)
ok, I’m way out of my depth in saying any of that, (talking out my behind about sex hormones).
anyone have a mind for experiment design?