Will Jakob win both the 1500m and the 5000m in Budapest?

It'd be amusing to witness that, but I think/feel he will only win the 1500m.

For me he is the favourite in both. Something like 80%/50% winning chances.

He will not run the 5000. He is only entered to make sure he is in the conversation.

He would further establish himself as one of the greatest runners of all time. Racing no 5000m all year but still winning against Cheptegei, Aregawi and other africans would be crazy

Definitely.

but I think my 50% for the 5000 was a little bit too high.

He’s totally got this sewn up.

As pointed out by many on other threads the favorite not always win.

But when this said he seems to be the major favorite in both events.

I don´t know why people here doubt his chances in the 5000m. Have they forgot the outcome of the Eugene 5000m final? Jakob won easily.

And he seems to be one level up from last year. If he brings a shape equaling his WB 2 mile 7:54 shape or better (which I think he has aimed with his last training before Budapest) I think he will be superior to everyone (Aregawi, Kejelcha, Cheptegei et Al).

With the schedule as is it should be perfectly possible to do the double.

And realistically, in the 5k, who is going to front-run away from him when he is in this kind of form? He only needs to hang on and then kick in the final lap. His PB is probably a good 10 seconds off from where he is currently.

I think there’s a 70 percent chance he wins both and a 90 percent chance he wins at least one title

Anyone know what they're serving at the aid stations during the 5000?

All it will take is him going for a single water cup, his competitors will not be able to recover mentally after they see that.

The Africans usually play the percentages wrong

They sit back in fear of being swamped when realistically they have no chance in a 800m burnup

1500 : 90%

5000 : 50%

Double : 45%

1500m: 98%

5000m: 0.3%

i get it, its tough to see him beating a bunch of guys who are close to 12:40 flat, when he hasn't run it this year, and he will have 3 rounds of 1500 in his legs.

But the dude ran a 7:54! his fitness is off the charts this year. I don't give him odds over the entire field, but i think something like 25-30% is fair.

No one is beating a 3:27/7:54(!!!) guy in a nonpaced championship 5000. The fact that some Africans have run 12:40-ish this year doesn't mean much. Jakob could have run 12:35 the day he ran 7:54. Expect another 2022 style race, with Jakob looking relaxed the entire way.

I will bump this thread when Aregawi wins this race and destroy the whole 5000m field!

The 5000 races have been overhyped all year. Lots of time trial goofs who Jakob respects so much he knows he might know one or two of their names.

Kiplimo is out and this helps Jakob a lot. Aregawi is going to push the pace and try SO hard to break Jakob, but Jakob is simply too strong to be dropped and then he wins it in the last 400. Certainly not a sure thing, but I give Jakob a touch > 50% chance to win the 5000. His chances in the 1500 are well above 80% and likely 90%. A lot of these other guys in the 5000 who have run really fast this year are just not consistent enough race to race. Yes, they might pop off again, but Jakob always is ready to go and delivers a very very solid performance every time out and in this 5000 final, that's enough. If the race is mid 12:50s or slower, then I also think Nur will medal. If Aregawi drives it down to sub 12:50, then maybe Nur is not quite ready for that yet.